[Chris is me]

This is for all teams attending championship, not all teams in eliminations or anything.

1. 1 out of 4 teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >50
2. 1 out of 10 teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >100
3. 1 out of 100 teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >200
4. 1 out of 400 teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >400

All of these numbers are deflated because having to do gears will take away from the shot volumes of teams who would score more doing balls.

The first one may be generous, but 50 balls in the high goal is one hopper full. That's not that bad. Even most robots primarily doing gears will get one vomit in there. So basically, lots of teams in the eliminations will be able to do this, but only a dozen or so per division will consistently do this in quals.

The second one is also kind of generous, but I'm thinking 7 teams in a 75 team division will be that good at balls, sure.

Third is, four robots per Championship, coincidentally the four strongest divisions. Fourth I just say one per Championship? Is not guessing "infinity" if nobody does this, and guessing infinity if somebody does, means instantly losing?

It's not so much that it's hard, it's that the effort to reward is way out of whack, and people need to prioritize gear cycles. I feel like all four of my guesses are too generous.