
19-01-2017, 08:35
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no bag, vex only, final destination
AKA: Pinecone
 FRC #0228 (GUS Robotics); FRC #2170 (Titanium Tomahawks)
Team Role: Mentor
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Rookie Year: 2006
Location: Glastonbury, CT
Posts: 7,792
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Re: Predicting Actual High Efficiency Goal Shooting at Worlds
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Johnson
Two things.
First, no clever stats person has stepped up to say they will make an "OPR-type" statistical estimator of median High Efficiency Goal ball count so... ...another $20 gift card prize that will never be claimed
Second, how would people change their answer if instead of MEDIAN H.E.G. ball count the question asked to predict MAX H.E.G. ball count? Specifically, how would you fill in the following 8 blanks:
- 1 out of ___/___ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >50
- 1 out of ___/___ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >100
- 1 out of ___/___ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >200
- 1 out of ___/___ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >400
Your thoughts are welcome.
Dr. Joe J.
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I'm just going to submit my guess for median HEG ball count as a guess for max HEG ball count. I feel like my median guess was too high so this would make for a nice hedge of my bet.
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Mentor / Drive Coach: 228 (2016-?)
--2016 Waterbury SFs (with 3314, 3719), RIDE #2 Seed / Winners (with 1058, 6153), Carver QFs (with 503, 359, 4607)
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College Mentor: 2791 (2010-2015)
-- 2015 TVR Motorola Quality, FLR GM Industrial Design -- 2014 FLR Motorola Quality / SFs (with 341, 4930)
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Student: 1714 (2009) - 2009 MN 10K Lakes Regional Winners (with 2826, 2470)
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