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Unread 19-01-2017, 10:44
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AKA: Devin Keeney
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Re: Predicting Actual High Efficiency Goal Shooting at Worlds

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Johnson View Post
Two things.

First, no clever stats person has stepped up to say they will make an "OPR-type" statistical estimator of median High Efficiency Goal ball count so... ...another $20 gift card prize that will never be claimed
While I'm no "Clever Stats Person", I believe The Blue Alliance is going to try and use OPR on fuel scored this year per event, which could then be quite easily compounded into a median or average for each team. None of this has been accomplished yet (AFAIK) because FIRST hasn't released their API that TBA feeds off of. I'd be happy to make a quick thing to calculate this once their API is finished.


Meanwhile, my predictions are as follows.
1.1 out of _5__ teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >50
2.1 out of _15__ teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >100
3.1 out of _150__ teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >200
4.1 out of _500__ teams will have a median H.E.G. ball count that is >400
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