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Unread 26-01-2017, 00:09
Donut Donut is offline
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Re: What autonomous modes will teams have?

Quote:
Originally Posted by GeeTwo View Post
I'm going to come at it the other way - identify autonomous goals and prognositcate as to how many teams will achieve them. In order from most to least,then:

60%-70% of teams will be able to cross the baseline most of the time by the end of their first event, 90%-95% of CMP teams will do so most of the time.

20%-30% of teams will deliver an auto gear at three or more qual matches in their first event. 45% to 55% at CMP.

Less than 3% of teams will ever deliver two auto gears in the same match. Less than 1% will do it three matches in a row.

15%-25% of teams will score at least one kPa autonomously in three matches at their first event.

3% to 7% of teams will score at least five kPA autonomously in three matches at their first event.

1% to 2% of teams will score at least 10 kPa autonomously in three matches at their first event.
I mostly echo these thoughts for autonomous.

I think less than 1% of teams will ever do a 2 gear auto. 900 will, because the vision system demands it, but from a strategic perspective it makes no sense if you can do anything with fuel, since a team with resources to score 2 gears should be attempting the 40+ point boiler auto instead. We will mainly see it on Einstein when a partner can already do the super boiler auto (either that or we see a coordinated double hopper auto... and CD will lose its mind).

I will predict we never see the 2nd rotor started in autonomous except at Champs or a District Champ event.

I do think 1-2% of teams will score a gear and at least one kPa autonomously in three matches at their first event.
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