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Re: How to use FRC Events data to determine gear ability
I don't think there's a good (reliable) way to determine how many gears were scored by a team via FIRST data. Almost every assumption that is made for the reliability of OPR-style data (high number of 'scores', low point value for each 'score', no over-lapping or multiplicative scoring, no pre-requisite to scoring, etc.) is broken with gears this year.
I think the best way to rank teams by "gears-scored" is by good, old-fashioned hand scouting. If you have a 2min 30 second attention span, and can count to ~12, this should be easy enough. It requires a team to have at least 6 people available to watch each match (remember, adults can scout too). On the other hand, scouting fuel this year is almost impossible by traditional methods, and I think will rely heavily on OPR-style scouting. A neat (unintentional?) combo by the GDC.
For people like you (Caleb, Ether, and the other CD stat mavens), I think you're going to have a very rough time publishing an end-of-year spreadsheet ranking all ~3000 teams in terms of gear scoring ability. I wish you luck, but short of significant breakthroughs in how statistics are used in FIRST, I really doubt anything you do will be reliably accurate. I'm hoping that in 2 months, I'll have to admit I was wrong.
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