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Unread 03-03-2004, 09:28
Andrew Andrew is offline
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Join Date: May 2002
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Re: The top 8 teams will be....

And one more thing...

I think matches will end in ties more frequently than in past years.

There will be a lot of matches that do not have either a capper robot or a hanger robot. Or have such robots that do not successfully accomplish that objective. I think this will be true in the majority of all matches (75 out of 100).

Those matches will be decided by the small balls. Many of the small ball matches are going to play out as a shooting contest between the two alliances. I think the likelihood that alliances in these situations will be evenly matched are high. Which means that the final score will be determined by probability rather than skill.

In other words, in the matches where teams are evenly matched as to ball delivery and shooting and in which no successful capping or hanging strategy is available, the tendency will be for the match to end in a tie. I think 50 out of 100 matches will have this equilibrium.

Since a small perterbation about this equilibrium (1 10 point ball or 1 extra hit or miss) will tip the balance into a win for one team, all 50 of these matches are not going to end in a tie. However, 10-20 will.
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