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Originally Posted by scitobor 617
I agree and your post reminds me of something else.... OS X on PCs and Windows XP. I believe that Vista will have a very hard time selling to the general public. For once M$ has very stiff competition which it created. I believe that Windows XP is stable enough that everyday PC users are not looking forward to their next Windows upgrade they way that most people longened for something better than Win95/98/Me. Not only will Vista have to compete with the stablity of XP it will have to compete against Apple's OS X. I believe that Apple will be releasing cheaper PC versions of their current Mac lineup faster than M$ could dream of releasing Vista(I'm counting on more delays on M$'s part).
As far as I am concerned Vista is a poor copy of what is already avaliable on Linux and OS X. Further more, I see the release of Vista as the beginning of Microsoft's decline. Their paranoia of Linux(which is a great OS but will not be taking over the world any time soon) shows that they could be anticipating their decline.
I know this was a rather pesamistic post however I believe that the next few years in the PC market could become very interesting for Microsoft.
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Where do you see anything that says that Apple will be releasing OSX to run on any PC? Yes, they are switching to Intel hardware, but as of right now, it will only run on Apple's hardware. Apple makes a lot more off of hardware then they do off selling OSX. The developer copies that have been out there will not run on any standard PC without modification, and even then theres a lack of driver support for PC hardware running on. I have no problem with OSX as an operating system - I own a powerbook that runs it, but as of right now, when it launches for Intel (still months to the first ones, and a year or two until it is completely Intel), it will be for Apple computers. You won't be able to buy a Dell or a Lenovo (IBM) with OSX pre-installed, and it isn't likely you will be able to go buy it off the shelf either.
Microsoft doesn't make its big money off people buying Windows XP at CompUSA and BestBuy - they make it from OEM's who bundle it with their PC's (although the revenue per unit is higher on retail copies, OEM's buy thousands of copies, don't require anything other than the sticker and sometimes a CD, and require no low level support (they handle it themselves)). Although the Corporate market usually sticks with the previous OS for a year or so, OEM's often switch to the new OS as soon as it is out. As soon as Vista comes out, all the big OEM's will be pushing it on all of their home PC's. For the corporate market, they will have to offer XP for a while (although many in the corporate market purchase their own Microsoft select licenses and use their own vlk, and could care less what OEM license it comes with), just as they did with Windows 2000.