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Originally Posted by Figment
Thanks for the great stats Bongle! They show some very interesting trends which also may be useful to teams when determining a list of possible alliance partners; for example if you could choose two teams of fairly even stats as far as shooting and such, you may be inclined to pick one team over another based on team number or how many regionals they have attended since these both seem to be general factors in performance. Also, if you can keep your average team number for your alliance lower, then you may be able to do better, although all of this is theoretical and obviously varies based on individual teams selected. The trends are still interesting to look at and could help break some ties when choosing an alliance or guessing at a match outcome.
Thanks again and keep up the great work!
-Figment
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I'd be careful reading into them that much. As properties of robots go, team-number should be somewhere around the last thing you consider. Remember, correlation is not causation. High team numbers don't cause teams to perform worse than average, high team numbers mean that the teams are relatively newer. They'll (in general) have fewer sponsors, less students, and less experience. There will be MANY exceptions to that rule, just as there will be MANY exceptions to the idea that lower-numbered teams will perform better. What these graphs are are just interesting trends that _might_ be useful in predicting the winner of a match at a slightly better rate than pure chance. If you look at the raw robot number versus score data (i.e. not an average of the alliance's team number), then the trend is almost nonexistant.
Really, the only way that it's a trend is in aggregate. On AVERAGE, lower-numbered alliances do better than high-numbered alliances. If you're looking at a team that has been doing well all regional, for the love of god don't turn them down because they may have a higher number. If that doesn't explain it, it's because I'm poor with words and because I'm distracted by an idea I had regarding this whole thing.