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Originally Posted by Alan Anderson
The Law of Large Numbers tells us that the ranking at the end of a sufficient quantity of randomly assigned qualification matches will reflect the robot goodness with high confidence. It's too bad that an actual competition doesn't have anything near the number of matches necessary to make that happen. All we get is a very rough approximation.
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Considering that matches are 3v3 that number would have to be HUGE. When we went to 3 teams per alliance we sacrificed a good deal of accuracy in our seeding. Your robot is nothing more than 1/3 of youR "randomly" paired alliance. You are against 3 other bots, 2 or 3 of which might be powerhouses. If you are by far the best bot on your "randomly" paired alliance, you will draw all the defense and your partners may not be able to take advantage of this. I like the new 3 bot alliances because of the complexities it add to elims, but it does make seeding more difficult. It could be worse. At least seeding is based on wins and losses instead of entirely on loser's score (like 2003).