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Playoff Analysis: Pre-Week XI
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Rank Team W-L-T Pct. Pts. Streak F.Rank Change
1. Nor Cal Crushers 8-2-0 .800 699.00 W-2 2 +1
2. stantheman 8-2-0 .800 598.00 L-1 7 -1
3. Rhode Island Dynamic 7-3-0 .700 709.00 W-4 1 +2
4. Evil Trav's Minions 7-3-0 .700 672.00 W-1 3 +2
5. Amazin' Blue 7-3-0 .700 522.00 L-2 13 -2
6. T-Hawks 6-3-1 .650 602.00 L-1 5 -2
7. Koko's X-Cats 6-4-0 .600 628.00 W-3 4 ±0
8. Silver Lobos 6-4-0 .600 591.00 W-1 8 ±0
9. Eat My Shorts 6-4-0 .600 564.00 W-1 9 +1
10. Indiana Ironmen 5-5-0 .500 602.00 L-2 5 -1
11. Meatball Artists 5-5-0 .500 481.00 L-1 18 ±0
12. Boilers 1529 4-6-0 .400 519.00 W-1 14 +1
13. {} 4-6-0 .400 492.00 W-3 17 +3
14. The Very Fast Blitz 4-6-0 .400 455.00 W-2 19 +3
15. FIRST Force 3-6-1 .350 536.00 L-4 10 -3
16. Cromer Smash! 3-6-1 .350 502.00 W-1 15 +3
17. Stevies Scapegoats 3-7-0 .300 524.00 L-1 12 -4
18. RPI10 3-7-0 .300 497.00 L-1 16 -3
19. Cooney Quest 2-7-1 .250 534.00 L-2 11 -1
20.z sigmakittens 1-9-0 .100 449.00 L-3 20 ±0
z=Mathematically Eliminated
Playoff Picture: We're ten weeks into the season, and the top 18 teams are more than capable of making the playoffs, and even the 19th place Cooney Quest isn't out of it yet. Unless otherwise noted, fantasy scores aren't taken into consideration here. - Crushers and STM will clinch with 3 wins, or 2 wins and a loss from one of the X-Cats, Lobos, or EMS.
- Dynamic, Minions, Blue and T-Hawks will clinch with 4 wins (winning out), or 3 wins and a loss from one of the X-Cats, Lobos, or EMS (yeah, yeah, 2 wins plus two losses from one of those 2-2 teams works too).
- The afforementioned X-Cats, Lobos, and EMS are the border straddlers this week. They can clinch if they win out, and one of those three has one loss. After that, we're prettymuch in "gonna need a supercomputer" land.
- Ironmen and Artists can get into the playoffs in as little as one win, but can not afford to lose out.
- Boilers, {}, and Blitz can go 2-2 and still have a chance, but they can't have more than three losses.
- Force and Smash are those rare teams that can afford a tie (though I wouldn't recommend it as that half game can be a difference maker). They can also afford a single loss. But two losses eliminates them.
- Scapegoats and RPI can't even afford the tie. Two losses will outright eliminate them as well.
- Cooney Quest can also afford a tie (though again, I wouldn't reccomend it), but other than that, they need to win out. Two of the X-Cats, Lobos, and EMS getting a single win also eliminates them.
- And finally, Kaplan's Kittens are the first ones out this year.
A few tidbits with the schedule: - What's truly scary is that with Cooney's schedule, they are quite capable of winning out (trust me, if you've kept track of them all year, they aren't as bad as that 19th place standing indicates). Sadly, their playoff chances are looking slimmer every week.
- Nobody in the 6-4 bracket face each other in the last four weeks. Same with the 5-5 bracket. However, the Artists have both the Lobos (Week XI) and X-Cats (Week XIV) left to play. If they win both, things look pretty good for them.
- On the same subject, EMS and Ironmen face off in Week XII. It's a pivotal game, and might spell disaster for the loser.
- Remember when I said the Ironmen could be in trouble late? Well, they have yet to beat any teams above .500, and they have EMS and the Crushers on their schedule (and Cooney, which could go either way). Eep.
- The T-Hawks are in less trouble, as they've shown they can beat the good teams. But they're still in for a test as they must face the Crushers, STM, and Minions.
- {} is on a roll, and have three games that can directly help them if they keep their momentum: Dynamic, X-Cats, and EMS. But losing just one of those gives a team above them better standing, and will probably end {}.
- Of the 6-4 and 5-5 brackets, the X-Cats by far have the easiest schedule, with their only notable foe being the Artists. Thenagain, they did give Cooney one of their two wins...
- Speaking of easy schedules, the Dynamic just defeated the Scapegoats, and face {}, Kittens, Artists, and Boilers. Notice anything? That's right, they're all in the lower half of the standings. It must be nice having what is most likely the easiest schedule of the league remaining.
- I myself am personally looking forward to Crushers/Minions in week XIII, if only for the ramifications it will have on any battles for the coveted/cursed #1 Seed Award.
- And while I'm still talking about it, mathematically, the top 14 can all reach #1. Realistically though, we're looking at the top 9 teams (minus Blue; their fantasy score is too low) fighting for it. Crushers, Dynamic, and Minions have the best shot due to all them having at least 40 more fantasy points than the X-Cats, who have the fourth highest fantasy score (who themselves have a decent buffer beteen them and the next two highest fantasy scores). In the Crushers and Dynamic's cases, it's nearly a 70 and 80 point difference, respectively.
Now, I'd like to toss a question to the field. Are there any matches (either your's or someone else's) in the next four weeks that entice you, and why? I myself have a rivalry game this week that I'm looking forward to  . Other than that, I'll see you early next week.
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