Quote:
Originally Posted by nuggetsyl
maybe the reason why your data is so close is because teams are playing numbers close to each other. Example 11 and 25 played each other 4 times. one team is going to be seeded lower then the other and the average will always be in the middle. Your excel sheet would be better if you used last years numbers.
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I don't disagree, however my analysis is based on this year's data. Please see hypothesis two concerning it's interpretation.
I'm looking forward to seeing an analysis of last year's numbers (it sounds as if someone is running that right now...). If lower numbered teams did significantly better last year relative to newer teams than this year, and FIRST has implemented a new scheduling system, then I would say that the scheduling system has served to undermine years of hard work and development on veteran teams.
"IF", however, is a pretty big word. I'll wait to see the results. Personally, until I see otherwise I think the "low number=power house" hypothesis is based on the same irrational pattern recognition that makes us silly humans believe in lucky rabbit's feet and horseshoes.
Jason