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Unread 06-03-2007, 00:02
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VEX Robotics Engineer
AKA: Arthur Dutra IV; NERD #18
FRC #0148 (Robowranglers)
Team Role: Engineer
 
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Re: [YMTC]: Faith in Statistics or Play it safe?

The real answer would come from how much time is left in the match. If RedBot2 only scores 1 in 7 tubes, but they can make one attempt every five seconds, and if there is 35 seconds left in the game you can almost be assured they will make it on. (Although it is not guaranteed.)

Since there are 30 seconds left in the match, that leaves 30 seconds for RedBot2 to place the tube, which will result in a combined probability of 6 in 7 that they will score it. Since the only robot left on the blue alliance is BlueBot1 and that is a primarily offensive robot, I would send BlueBot1 out and get a tube, and instead of them playing active defense I would play proactive defense and have BlueBot1 score the tube where RedBot2 is trying to place theirs.

Or... I know this isn't one of the original choices, but since BlueBot1 is a offensive scorer, even easier they can go out, grab one of the spoilers from the floor, and take one tube off Red's row. If RedBot2 did score, then there should be a dead tie for the match, but by spoiling one tube from Red's row regardless of where you put it, the match is now in favor of Blue, and Blue heads off for Einstein.
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Art Dutra IV
Robotics Engineer, VEX Robotics, Inc., a subsidiary of Innovation First International (IFI)
Robowranglers Team 148 | GUS Robotics Team 228 (Alumni) | Rho Beta Epsilon (Alumni) | @arthurdutra

世上无难事,只怕有心人.