Or let's look at it the other way. How many teams made it in to the elimination rounds that the predictions didn't see coming? When the full compliment of teams in the elimination rounds are lined up agains the prediction list, it plays out like this:
Legend:
Tip - Identified as a "Tip" in the prediciton
Lock -Identified as a "Lock" in the prediciton
Bonus - Identified as a "Bonus" in the prediciton
U-T-R - A team that flew "Under The Radar"
S-B-M - Teams that "Slipped By Me!"
R-M-T-O - We "Really Missed This One!"
- Quarter-Finals -
25 - Lock
45 - Tip
56 - Lock
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - U-T-R
116 - U-T-R
173 - U-T-R
191 - U-T-R
217 - Tip
229 - Lock
279 - U-T-R
341 - U-T-R
488 - U-T-R
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1126 - U-T-R
1319 - U-T-R
1425 - U-T-R
1595 - U-T-R
1712 - U-T-R
1902 - U-T-R
2056 - U-T-R
2272 - U-T-R
Right - 37%
Missed - 63%
- Semi-Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - S-B-M
116 - S-B-M
173 - S-B-M
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1319 - S-B-M
1595 - S-B-M
1712 - S-B-M
1902 - S-B-M
2056 - S-B-M
Right - 25%
Missed - 75%
- Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
173 - R-M-T-O
503 - Lock
1319 - R-M-T-O
1902 - R-M-T-O
Right - 50%
Missed - 50%
Not too bad of a record. But just remind me not to bet with Dr. Joe if we ever go to Las Vegas together (partiularly during the NCAA semi-finals).*
-dave
* and, yes, it is all in fun!