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Unread 25-02-2008, 22:08
Wayne TenBrink's Avatar
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<< (2008 Game Piece)
FRC #1918 (NC Gears)
Team Role: Engineer
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Rookie Year: 2006
Location: Fremont, MI, USA
Posts: 528
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Re: Scoring Predictions Anyone?

In 2007, the week 1 median qualifying score for all alliances (winners & losers combined) was below 10. The mean score was around 20. There were a few matches with huge scores, but a lot more with zeroes. By Week 5, the scores were much higher (the median at the West Michigan Regional was around 30).

I know this year's game is totally different, but these matches are two of the fastest minutes around. Nothing goes as smoothly on the field as it does in your mind. Getting control of the ball is going to be tough. Any machine that needs more than a few seconds and/or a stationary ball for pickup will be hurting - even without defenders. Add defenders to the mix (their job will be to keep the opponents ball moving so they can't pick it up- not to impede the robot once it has the ball) and there will be a lot of robots that never score a hurdle.

I think the scenarios for a 60-100 point match sound entirely reasonable. You will see some of those, but the average qualifying match will be a fraction of that.
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