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Re: Offensive Power Rankings for 2008
Of course that many things could skew the nubers. However, the law of large numbers still applies: the more and more samples you take, the more the number you're sampling appraoch its true value. So even if one matches is skewed, the average if your ten matches, or maybe more, will still be close to the expect numbers.
I think relying on any one tool too much to make a decision is a bad idea. Look, for example at what NFL teams do before they draft someone: watch game video, look at game statistics, look at the player during workouts, look at iq tests, personal intrviews, and more. Similarly, the best scouring teams in Atlanta will combine several different measurements and inputs to make their lists. I imagine they will go around talking to teams and getting an impression of their strategy, gameplanning, and experience. I bet they will have people recording matches and looking at what each team does, driver skill, performance, etc. I would guess they also watch some teams' recorded matches, especially from eliminations, to see how those teams fair when it's make-it or break-it time. A combination of these different tools is what will probably lead the eventual winning alliance captain to compile its alliance.
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