Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Ross
I ran through 200 simulated qualifications (all 100 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's best opr for their contribution to a match.
I know 1114 is by far the best robot this year, but I wanted to see what their chances are of seeding first. They went undefeated in all but 20 trials, but only seeded first 73 times. Here are the statistics for all teams:
QPs:
Code:
Team min max average median undefeated
1114 12 14 13.81 14 180
103 8 14 12.37 12 77
217 8 14 11.705 12 50
40 6 14 11.385 12 39
330 6 14 11.545 12 49
254 2 14 10.83 10.5 31
494 4 14 10.56 10 17
25 6 14 10.535 10 21
1717 2 14 10.96 12 31
121 4 14 9.795 10 18
1629 2 14 10.29 10 20
234 2 14 9.29 10 10
469 4 14 9.61 10 13
343 2 14 8.43 8 5
65 0 14 8.39 8 3
176 0 14 8.415 8 3
195 2 14 8.435 8 4
1540 2 14 8.895 10 8
88 1 14 7.885 8 3
291 0 14 7.55 8 2
1450 2 14 7.915 8 3
2468 2 14 8.285 8 4
70 0 14 7.92 8 4
2062 2 14 8.26 8 2
716 0 14 7.97 8 1
1503 0 14 8.24 8 6
1816 2 14 7.76 8 2
932 2 14 7.705 8 2
48 0 14 6.88 6 2
384 0 12 7.155 8 0
694 0 14 7.48 8 3
148 2 14 8.82 9 7
1089 0 14 7.525 8 5
316 0 14 6.7 6 2
548 2 12 6.84 6 0
2165 0 14 7.345 8 4
1676 2 14 7.34 8 3
364 0 13 6.885 6 0
84 0 12 6.17 6 0
1366 0 12 6.92 8 0
134 0 13 6.07 6 0
1023 0 14 6.59 6 2
2487 0 13 6.97 7 0
180 0 12 6.02 6 0
812 0 12 6.29 6 0
2237 0 12 6.73 6.5 0
2638 0 14 7.08 8 1
425 0 11 6.505 6 0
2340 0 14 6.65 6 1
894 0 12 6.13 6 0
1319 0 12 6.36 6 0
2046 2 14 9.28 10 4
2549 0 14 6.265 6 1
2564 0 12 6.605 6 0
980 0 13 5.925 6 0
612 0 12 5.795 6 0
1038 0 12 5.715 6 0
1983 0 14 7.16 8 3
8 0 12 5.335 6 0
302 0 14 5.18 6 1
457 0 12 5.205 6 0
1739 0 12 5.555 6 0
1758 0 14 5.595 6 1
597 0 11 5.8 6 0
2599 0 14 5.52 6 1
2023 0 12 5.545 6 0
2437 0 14 5.77 6 1
399 0 14 5.2 6 1
1296 0 10 4.74 4 0
1212 0 12 5.07 4 0
1138 0 14 5.615 6 1
2423 0 12 4.865 4 0
1390 0 12 4.52 4 0
226 0 8 4.015 4 0
1885 0 12 5.585 6 0
168 0 12 4.315 4 0
2354 0 10 4.085 4 0
1254 0 10 3.95 4 0
115 0 14 4.77 4 1
839 0 10 4.595 4 0
1523 0 12 3.79 4 0
2621 0 12 3.31 4 0
1576 0 10 2.93 2 0
509 0 8 2.94 2 0
1595 0 8 2.25 2 0
Seeds:
Code:
Team Min Max average median 1 seed top 8
1114 1 9 2.43 2 73 199
103 1 27 5.475 4 38 160
217 1 30 8.435 6 21 128
40 1 49 9.935 7 11 114
330 1 45 9.155 6 21 123
254 1 75 12.825 9.5 8 88
494 1 60 14.74 12.5 4 72
25 1 47 13.76 12 4 83
1717 1 72 14.645 11.5 1 75
121 1 61 18.685 15 6 46
1629 2 73 17.955 16 0 51
234 1 75 22.2 16.5 4 37
469 2 65 20.725 17.5 0 42
343 1 77 28.885 27 3 23
65 3 82 28.045 26 0 18
176 2 81 28.525 27 0 12
195 2 77 28.205 27 0 22
1540 2 80 28.36 24 0 27
88 1 82 31.865 29 2 15
291 2 83 35.57 30 0 12
1450 3 81 36.405 34 0 6
2468 3 78 33.735 33 0 10
70 2 83 31.65 29 0 17
2062 3 80 33.55 29.5 0 12
716 4 83 33.94 32 0 11
1503 1 84 33.65 32 1 11
1816 2 79 37.72 35.5 0 8
932 3 82 36.885 34 0 6
48 4 82 40.82 42 0 6
384 5 83 38.92 35 0 10
694 2 84 38.01 36 0 8
148 1 79 25.695 22.5 1 27
1089 3 82 38.885 36.5 0 10
316 3 84 42.95 44 0 5
548 7 81 42.74 43 0 3
2165 2 84 41.76 40 0 9
1676 2 83 41.55 41 0 8
364 5 82 41.26 42 0 8
84 8 85 46.415 46 0 1
1366 5 84 43.39 40 0 3
134 5 84 47.505 49 0 2
1023 1 85 45.66 46 1 4
2487 3 83 45.41 42 0 4
180 8 84 48.06 47 0 1
812 5 82 47.14 48.5 0 2
2237 8 83 46.435 45 0 2
2638 2 85 44.525 43 0 4
425 9 84 45.13 44 0 0
2340 6 85 47.515 51 0 5
894 8 84 49.915 51.5 0 1
1319 6 84 49.06 49.5 0 2
2046 3 76 25.335 22 0 22
2549 5 85 50.57 54 0 2
2564 10 84 47.96 48.5 0 0
980 5 85 52.055 54.5 0 1
612 8 84 51.675 53 0 3
1038 7 85 53.68 54 0 1
1983 1 82 42.585 40.5 1 5
8 6 84 54.195 56.5 0 1
302 4 85 55.815 57 0 2
457 9 85 56.04 59 0 0
1739 9 85 56.61 59 0 0
1758 3 85 56.135 58.5 0 2
597 10 84 51.94 53 0 0
2599 4 85 57.395 59 0 1
2023 10 85 56.715 57 0 0
2437 3 84 54.875 58 0 2
399 4 85 56.345 58 0 1
1296 18 85 62.51 67 0 0
1212 6 85 60.24 66 0 1
1138 6 84 54.745 55.5 0 1
2423 14 85 62.625 66.5 0 0
1390 9 85 63.64 68 0 0
226 30 85 65.665 68 0 0
1885 9 84 56.97 58 0 0
168 7 85 62.575 67 0 1
2354 19 85 67.765 73 0 0
1254 18 85 67.95 71.5 0 0
115 3 85 58.69 63 0 1
839 20 85 63.065 67 0 0
1523 10 85 69.95 74 0 0
2621 9 85 73.095 77 0 0
1576 25 85 75.86 79.5 0 0
509 32 85 74.04 79 0 0
1595 35 85 78.985 82 0 0
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wow... 1114 never finished below 9
somehow... doesn't shock me, but it is just a simulation.
so this simulation had no assumed defense? its all on the opr?