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Unread 18-01-2009, 20:10
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Re: A statistical look at G14

Quote:
Originally Posted by Laaba 80 View Post
Completely agree with you. People always try to compare different games to give their opinions in rules. Like you say, they are different games. I would say it is more like comparing football to rugby. They are similar, but have very different gameplay.
Exactly. I was trying to get a round-about idea of how many cells you can expect to lose.

I didn't just decide to use 2008 as my proxy on a whim, I picked 2008 because the scoring style was similar:
-There were no big one-time finish bonuses to give lopsided victories
-Your score was linear based on how many tasks you completed, whether it was hurdles or laps
-It was a fairly high-scoring game.

2003 had multiplicative scoring. 2004 had capping as a doubler as well as the 50pt chin-up bonus. 2005 had lots of bonuses for the geometric arrangement of pieces. 2006 had a huge autonomous bonus. 2007 had exponential scoring. 2008 was the best stand-in for the scoring style we'll see in lunacy, though its autonomous bonus was still big.

However, 2008's usefulness as an upper-bound of how many cells a team could expect to lose still stands. Almost all the variations between Overdrive and Lunacy tend to make it so that an Overdrive score will be MORE lopsided than a Lunacy score. Therefore, we can probably predict that super-cell losses will be somewhat less than this thread predicts. At the very least, an analysis like this is a little better than the back-and-forth with very little evidence that exists in other G14 threads.

Though you give me an idea to check to see how similar scoring distributions are between years...

Last edited by Bongle : 18-01-2009 at 20:14.