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Unread 04-02-2009, 08:35
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Jared Russell Jared Russell is offline
Taking a year (mostly) off
FRC #0254 (The Cheesy Poofs), FRC #0341 (Miss Daisy)
Team Role: Engineer
 
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Rookie Year: 2001
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Re: The Plus-Minus stat in Lunacy

Good thoughts, people, and keep it coming!

I agree that the human player is a huge factor this year, and that they need to be scouted as well. Unfortunately there is no way that I can think of to track everything going on without a large number of scouts per round. That said, I think that scoring will be much slower and more controlled in general than people think (I think a good robot this season will score maybe a dozen balls in a round).

As far as special cases go (penalties, miscounting, etc.), I wouldn't get too hung up on them. We acknowledge that statistics have inherent error, and that they only capture a small subset of the "game experience". While we're at it, what about robot failure? I've seen great teams throw a chain early in a match and sit idly by. It happens. This could destroy any sort of averaging stat (especially this year).

All statistics are necessarily incomplete for any nontrivial challenge. Not all RBIs are equal in baseball. Not all touchdowns are equal in the NFL. Not all goals are equal in hockey. But stats are easier to express colloquially. They are meant to supplement our understanding of team performance - NOT be the bottom line.