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Unread 08-03-2009, 14:33
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Ed Law Ed Law is offline
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Re: paper: New Scouting Database from Team 2834

Hi,

I forgot to mention that the match prediction is available. Keep in mind that it will not be accurate until you have a larger sample of matches.

I did a study of the prediction of match results using OPR and CCWM. Through the first two weeks including those events that have complete data published, in the elimination round, the prediction using CCWM is 59.5% and using OPR is slightly better at 63.6%. Last year, the accuracy was better.

The way I use the prediction is knowing whether the odds are with you or against you. If it shows a close match, you may want your best payload specialist out there. If it shows the odds are against you big time, then you may want to change your strategy with your alliance partners and do something more risky since you have nothing to lose.

What do you think?

Ed
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Last edited by Ed Law : 09-03-2009 at 01:02. Reason: wrong data corrected
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