Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Ross
Similar to what I did last year, I ran through 200 simulated qualification match schedules (all 102 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's average opr for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 200 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
When I went back and looked at last year's data, a team finished within 1 standard deviation of their average seed 60% of the time, and within 2 standard deviations 95% of the time. Only 3 teams seeded higher/lower then their min/max seed.
Code:
Team Avg Seed Median Mode StDev Min Max #1 seed Top 8
67 6.0 4 1 5.7 1 28 42 153
71 7.5 4 1 8.3 1 50 46 138
1195 13.6 11 5 10.9 1 63 11 83
971 14.0 11 2 12.2 1 63 8 82
40 14.8 12 4 11.6 1 52 8 75
716 15.7 13 13 12.4 1 68 10 64
1717 15.9 12.5 9 12.9 1 74 6 70
111 17.6 13 3 14.2 1 61 8 67
207 17.7 14.5 4 14.4 1 80 8 61
987 18.9 15 10 13.7 1 63 7 55
45 19.6 16 11 15.4 1 70 5 57
25 20.4 17 13 14.0 1 66 2 43
1923 21.4 19 4 15.0 1 63 6 52
179 21.8 19 18 15.1 1 78 2 42
704 21.9 19 15 14.6 1 75 3 36
870 22.9 18.5 8 16.1 1 77 3 39
744 23.2 19 16 15.8 1 76 4 41
151 25.7 23 32 16.2 1 85 1 28
1318 25.8 21.5 14 16.5 1 81 2 22
2741 25.8 22 17 16.5 1 73 4 28
1332 27.0 25 10 16.7 1 76 4 30
2348 27.6 27.5 16 16.5 2 76 0 27
1742 28.7 26.5 31 18.3 1 79 1 30
56 29.3 28 14 18.1 1 79 1 24
115 29.7 28 12 16.0 2 68 0 17
2775 31.1 29.5 29 16.1 2 76 0 15
20 31.5 30 44 18.4 1 84 2 23
1208 32.0 29.5 22 18.3 2 84 0 16
1250 32.7 31 26 19.7 1 80 1 22
1477 33.1 31 36 19.1 3 86 0 19
973 35.4 32 14 19.8 2 85 0 13
47 38.6 37 46 18.1 5 82 0 5
708 38.7 36 34 20.1 1 81 1 12
2844 39.1 38.5 39 18.4 3 80 0 9
1745 39.3 37 36 18.4 4 85 0 9
418 39.9 40 27 18.8 1 81 1 6
359 41.0 40.5 45 18.6 2 82 0 6
1941 41.9 40 24 19.8 4 85 0 6
435 42.2 41.5 52 18.9 2 82 0 9
2729 42.4 42.5 34 19.3 3 87 0 2
226 42.5 44 48 18.3 6 85 0 4
555 43.4 44 65 20.2 1 86 1 8
1261 46.1 46 68 19.9 7 85 0 1
2936 46.3 47.5 53 19.1 2 87 0 5
1902 46.6 46 34 19.7 3 87 0 4
2230 47.4 49.5 50 18.4 8 86 0 1
281 48.6 51 69 19.6 4 87 0 3
494 49.1 51.5 70 20.0 1 84 1 5
279 49.4 51 50 19.1 6 87 0 3
1872 49.5 52 57 19.0 6 87 0 3
2214 50.2 51 53 18.2 1 86 1 1
967 50.3 50.5 68 19.5 2 87 0 2
1124 51.2 52 57 17.7 3 86 0 4
1676 51.3 52.5 58 18.8 2 86 0 3
11 51.6 53.5 53 19.0 5 87 0 1
1540 53.0 54 43 17.9 4 87 0 3
65 53.0 55 54 18.3 6 86 0 3
168 53.8 55.5 52 19.6 6 87 0 1
3059 54.2 55 37 18.3 5 87 0 1
815 54.8 55 52 18.1 7 85 0 1
2638 55.9 56 54 19.3 6 87 0 1
303 56.0 57 57 18.0 8 86 0 2
1829 56.4 58 62 18.3 11 87 0 0
1551 56.6 59 69 17.4 8 87 0 1
932 57.5 59 72 18.3 11 87 0 0
1270 57.7 59 78 17.9 9 86 0 0
230 57.7 63 67 19.2 9 87 0 0
1662 59.1 62 73 18.3 7 87 0 1
461 60.0 64 78 19.1 8 87 0 1
2642 61.4 62 81 17.1 6 87 0 1
999 61.8 65 79 16.7 9 87 0 0
1646 62.3 66 66 17.3 11 87 0 0
1598 63.2 66.5 83 16.4 19 87 0 0
440 64.2 69 81 16.7 15 87 0 0
2910 65.0 71 82 16.7 19 86 0 0
1710 67.7 72 86 15.7 9 87 0 0
1601 69.5 73.5 81 14.8 12 87 0 0
1450 70.2 74 85 14.4 18 87 0 0
753 70.2 74 83 14.1 11 87 0 0
2579 70.6 75 81 14.8 12 87 0 0
2234 70.9 75 86 14.5 20 87 0 0
1772 71.9 75.5 85 13.8 11 87 0 0
1836 72.1 75 83 13.6 22 87 0 0
1058 72.5 76 84 13.6 10 87 0 0
1885 76.4 79 87 10.8 23 87 0 0
2550 77.8 82 87 10.4 40 87 0 0
203 80.2 84 87 8.2 44 87 0 0
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I'm hoping to not be seated that far down
1270 is hoping to turn a few heads. We have been working very hard on everything we could, we got the bot working at the end of the Buckeye so our averages are way down from where we are hoping to be. This is a stacked division this year, I haven't been on Galileo since 2003.......... Good luck to everyone!! I know I'm looking forward for some intense matches.
Team 1270
Red Dragons
Shooter 0-10' range
Shooter pivots 45 degrees left and right 90 degrees total
Hold 15-18 Orbit balls
We have been working on a scoring autonomous mode