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Unread 15-04-2009, 07:30
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Alex Cormier Alex Cormier is offline
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AKA: Grizz, Twinkletoes, PitBull1126
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Re: Top Seed Regional Success Rate Poll

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Lucas View Post
Regionals are over so here are the results:

Code:
		#1 Alliance Won	
All Events	50.00%				
FiM		75.00%
Not FiM		45.00%
>50 teams	40.91%
<=50		57.69%
So looks like I was wrong . All those people who picked 50% - 60% win. I guess those people with 40%- 50% could make a case that they have 50% as well. They also could say district events aren't regionals and thus 45% is correct. I'm only correct (<40%) if you look at >50 team regionals not MSC: 38.09%.

So since I'm already wrong I'm going double or nothing with another prediction:
Only a single #1 alliance will advance to Einstein. It's Lunacy!
(2 #1s advanced last year)

Spreadsheet is attached with more analysis. Tell me if I have any errors. I collected seed data by looking at the alliance brackets on TBA.
I'd like to think we will see a middle alliance on the big stage and a 8th seed on there also.
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