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Unread 16-10-2009, 20:56
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AKA: Ed Barker
FRC #1311 (Kell Robotics)
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Location: Kennesaw GA
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Re: Predicting team startup growth

Here is a rough model in this spreadsheet

How it works.
Every tenth high school gets an FRC team.
Four times that numbers get a FTC/VEX team.
There are eight times as many occurances of FLL teams.

Slightly over half of ALL high schools will have one of FRC/FTC/VRC and that is fed by over 33,392 FLL teams.

The model is domestic US only.

Color coding scheme

. green - exceeds targets
. yellow - approaching exceeding target
. copper - work in progress
. red - inhales vigorously, houston we have a problem
. the copper/red cutoff point is my arbitrary number
. blue - aggregate data

Feel free to blow this thing up.

Enjoy,

Ed Barker



2010 census estimate data - 14 to 17 year old population group
http://www.census.gov/population/pro...mmaryTabB1.xls

high school information
http://schooltree.org/high/

2009 Lunacy team data provides the team stats
http://usfirst.org/whatsgoingon.aspx


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale-free_network

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law

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