Here is a rough model in this
spreadsheet
How it works.
Every tenth high school gets an FRC team.
Four times that numbers get a FTC/VEX team.
There are eight times as many occurances of FLL teams.
Slightly over half of ALL high schools will have one of FRC/FTC/VRC and that is fed by over 33,392 FLL teams.
The model is domestic US only.
Color coding scheme
. green - exceeds targets
. yellow - approaching exceeding target
. copper - work in progress
. red - inhales vigorously, houston we have a problem
. the copper/red cutoff point is my arbitrary number
. blue - aggregate data
Feel free to blow this thing up.
Enjoy,
Ed Barker
2010 census estimate data - 14 to 17 year old population group
http://www.census.gov/population/pro...mmaryTabB1.xls
high school information
http://schooltree.org/high/
2009 Lunacy team data provides the team stats
http://usfirst.org/whatsgoingon.aspx
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale-free_network
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law
.