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Unread 16-10-2009, 22:57
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Re: Predicting team startup growth

Quote:
Originally Posted by ebarker View Post
We now have statistical proof that Utah makes more babies than Maine'rs.
Not exactly. The evidence is that there are more people of that age in UT, but not necessarily that they were born there or born of residents of UT. It might be a reasonable assumption, but it's not proof.

But, that's just a spurious quibble, and doesn't invalidate anything here.

Fascinating topic Ed, and from what little I know about the subject, it seems to be valid. Sure, the "real" curve might look slightly different from the idealized one you show, but the concept behind it doesn't get changed.

I. too, wonder if FIRST has done this kind of analysis. My gut reaction is that yes, they have (but, I admit, that's speculation because I have not asked). Remember, we're not talking about government politicians, these are people who made their money by being smart. I bet that Woodie or Dean could write a white paper on this. (I mean, if I know a little about it...)

What jumped out at me from this is it can be used as a means of deciding where to focus efforts towards recruiting new teams.

I'd also be interested in an analysis of why some areas are so very different from others.

And, is a state the proper geographic delineation? I mean, what's the difference between Bergen County NJ and Rockland County NY? (look on a map). Montvale and Chestnut Ridge are extraordinarily similar in most every way, except there happens to be a state line between them.

More questions than answers, I know.
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