[Bongle]

Another reason OPR might be a poor elimination predictor is because the rules essentially change in eliminations.

In qualifying, it isn't really in anyone's interest for teams to play heavy-handed defense. In eliminations, defense is a key factor. So teams with a pneumatic-tire 8-motor, rocket-powered 8WD suddenly are much more useful, while teams with highly mobile feather-light (and light on grip, like mechanum/omni) robots suddenly find it much harder to score.

A perfect example is 469: they have a low OPR (well... compared to their reputation) because they are only at maximum effectiveness when they're playing with highly effective robots that can get their ball loop going. In qualifying, that might not happen often. An ball-supplier bot is limited in offensive power by its home-zone teammate that is trying to get balls in the net. 469 is a defense-proof near-perfect ball supplier. When defense ramps up and solid ball-deliverers become available, suddenly 469 is an unstoppable force.