Quote:
Originally Posted by Jared341
The members of team IFI were plenty dominant prior to organized collaboration. It should come as no surprise that they continue to do so when working together 
Here's some food for thought:
I looked at all of the Regional and District Event winners so far this year, and the #1 seeded alliance has won 64% of the competitions thus far. In fact, only once by my count has an alliance seeded worse than 3rd won the event (I apologize, I don't remember off the top of my head which competition that was).
I haven't had a chance to see how this compares to data from years past, but it seems that in 2010 more than ever the high seeds are winning (for example, team 341 has won 4 regionals in the past 4 seasons, and only once - this year - were we the #1 alliance).
IMHO, the field of really effective robots at most events thus far has been fairly shallow; only a handful of alliances seem to end up with prolific scorers and they tend to run away with the trophies. These teams are also aided by the seeding system this year - more than ever, I am seeing #1 seeds that are fairly predictable. |
#1 alliance won 57% of the first 3 week events in 2009.
I had a thread about
#1 success last year and I've attached the spreadsheet (which is no longer attached to the thread for some reason)
It ended the year at 50% success overall for #1 alliances. 75% of FiM #1 alliances won and 45% for the rest of #1. In events with greater than 50 teams, #1 won 41%, and at smaller events, 58%. In week 1 last year 75% of #1 seeds won.
Like this time last year, #1 has won all 3 FiM districts. I dont expect the small/large event splits to be as drastic because of the new seeding. In the old seeding system you pretty much had to be undefeated to seed #1 because of the low number of matches. A tough draw could ruin a good teams chances and mediocre teams were much more likely to coast to #1 with a favourable schedule. My final prediction on that thread was correct, only 1 #1 alliance made it to Einstein.
After TU16 fixed the seeding system, the seeding results have been excellent in my observation, better than last year. I've see more picking among the alliance captains in the last 2 weeks than I can remember. The system forces you to produce, not just win to seed in the top spot. Those tough hard fought losses to a superior alliance that once removed any hope of a #1 seed are now worth more than ugly 1-0 wins. Teams can improve and rise like a bullet after early struggles. I still dont like the losers geting the winner's score, but I cant argue with good results.
One storyline I am looking forward to this week is:
Will the #1 seed win Philly?
A #1 seed hasn't won Philly since 2001 when the game was played 4v0. There is similar depth at the top and in the field at Philly this year, that would suggest similar parity. However,
I am predicting that this is the year a #1 allaince will win Philly.