Similar to what I did
in previous years, I ran through 200 simulated qualification match schedules (all 144 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's
average opr for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 200 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
Code:
Team Avg Rnk Med Rnk Mod Rnk SD Rnk Min Rnk Max Rnk #1 seed Top 8 Avg SS Med SS Stdv SS Min SS Max SS
2056 1.415 1 1 0.88 1 6 151 200 237.725 240 15.67 192 271
188 2.77 2 2 1.70 1 11 39 199 217.67 216 17.21 178 261
1714 4.81 4 2 3.12 1 17 5 174 201.4 203 18.90 150 263
217 5.445 4 3 3.71 1 23 5 167 197.935 199 19.62 140 244
1625 10.53 9 6 5.68 2 30 0 87 174.625 175 19.36 125 217
1717 11.01 9 7 6.79 2 43 0 86 173.595 175.5 21.73 113 231
3138 10.135 9 5 6.32 2 34 0 98 176.32 176 22.08 123 228
1305 11.565 9 5 7.38 2 36 0 89 172 175 21.94 120 219
365 10.38 9 6 5.93 2 32 0 90 174.705 176 19.98 123 223
1086 11.555 10 7 6.10 2 29 0 78 171.475 173 19.93 127 214
1696 11.4 10 7 8.00 2 44 0 84 172.555 173.5 22.55 109 232
1058 22.325 21 14 11.19 3 55 0 12 144.68 145 23.52 90 216
230 20.96 19.5 13 10.36 3 54 0 16 146.76 148 22.20 88 214
56 20.85 18 16 10.79 3 57 0 17 147.375 151 22.53 87 221
2016 21.155 19 19 12.13 3 77 0 21 147.31 148 25.16 67 212
271 20.525 17 16 11.43 3 65 0 15 148.225 149 24.01 80 212
78 20.605 19 18 10.76 3 57 0 25 147.46 147.5 23.76 87 200
1466 20.75 20 21 11.22 2 64 0 25 147.605 145 24.47 79 212
63 20.295 18 14 10.36 3 58 0 17 148.345 147.5 22.39 91 210
694 20.27 18 9 11.90 3 56 0 28 149.175 150 25.55 91 213
2122 21.03 20 25 10.36 3 52 0 22 147.01 147 22.67 100 215
1735 19.975 19 8 9.32 4 52 0 22 148.02 147 21.16 93 201
100 35.52 33.5 35 15.08 7 79 0 3 119.8 119.5 23.87 56 174
51 35.37 33 31 14.85 6 75 0 2 120.255 119 24.34 60 184
1983 34.69 33 17 15.47 6 80 0 4 121.285 120 25.58 53 186
107 36.33 35 27 15.30 9 80 0 0 118.7 119 23.96 59 175
2834 33.785 32 25 14.71 7 76 0 2 123.015 122 23.83 66 179
292 35.965 33 43 15.11 5 78 0 1 119.4 120.5 24.03 49 184
2437 34.665 34.5 21 14.30 8 81 0 1 121.54 119 23.43 58 188
2036 34.365 32.5 26 15.54 6 74 0 2 122.51 123 25.41 69 189
79 36.925 36 29 15.44 6 80 0 3 117.76 117 24.40 54 193
744 35.495 34 33 13.98 13 83 0 0 119.09 120 21.53 51 166
433 36.1 33 30 14.54 9 80 0 0 119.065 118 22.45 53 179
503 33.795 31 26 13.90 4 70 0 3 122.685 122.5 22.91 72 201
2429 36.385 35 42 14.08 9 79 0 0 118.02 116.5 22.32 64 180
714 33.73 32 37 15.46 5 78 0 3 123.63 124.5 25.39 59 187
548 36.525 36 36 14.81 9 74 0 0 118.23 117 23.36 64 173
2130 36.08 34 37 13.98 9 71 0 0 118.815 120 22.02 75 182
1261 35.32 33 19 15.32 7 81 0 3 120.395 120.5 24.96 54 187
3381 33.95 31 38 14.42 11 78 0 0 122.41 123.5 22.71 63 171
1517 53.135 53 53 16.77 20 86 0 0 93.025 93.5 24.06 35 149
3310 51.275 51 51 16.67 15 84 0 0 95.605 97 24.24 36 159
3006 52.13 51.5 51 14.80 15 84 0 0 94.62 94.5 21.27 42 158
85 52.145 53 60 15.91 8 85 0 1 94.715 93.5 22.95 40 174
1584 52.095 51 44 17.14 15 86 0 0 94.615 94.5 24.67 34 151
752 53.195 55 58 17.33 15 86 0 0 93.43 91.5 25.24 36 160
68 51.93 51.5 44 15.91 14 84 0 0 95.15 95 22.57 45 159
263 52.965 52 46 14.97 20 85 0 0 93.535 94 21.33 32 146
1259 53 54 57 16.06 17 84 0 0 93.925 92 22.72 45 154
1816 54.315 55 65 15.76 15 86 0 0 91.41 91 22.45 32 159
2468 52.005 50.5 50 16.32 13 84 0 0 94.745 95 23.75 42 166
1771 52.605 51 38 15.84 15 84 0 0 94.07 94.5 22.10 39 151
900 52.11 51.5 50 16.34 16 85 0 0 94.78 94 23.29 43 152
3158 51.07 49.5 40 15.39 19 82 0 0 95.93 97 21.82 48 145
1002 53.64 53 72 15.91 14 86 0 0 92.42 94 22.88 24 158
3164 51.32 52 42 15.44 18 86 0 0 95.49 94 21.50 41 147
379 51.88 51 66 15.80 15 84 0 0 95.275 95 22.31 43 152
2108 52.6 52 50 16.13 13 84 0 0 94 93 22.90 43 155
649 53.74 55 47 16.31 17 85 0 0 92.455 89.5 23.26 40 158
1403 52.51 52.5 52 16.28 13 85 0 0 94.415 93 23.76 40 170
2839 52.125 53 55 15.76 19 85 0 0 94.755 94 21.69 42 148
3318 51.785 53.5 54 17.27 9 86 0 0 95.18 92.5 25.44 26 178
1522 53.17 54 58 16.37 14 86 0 0 92.965 92.5 23.92 31 166
1446 49.525 49 39 15.98 15 81 0 0 98.355 98.5 22.38 49 157
228 67.985 72 76 13.94 27 86 0 0 71.105 69 21.75 20 128
3352 68.63 71 73 12.40 20 86 0 0 70.61 69 18.76 29 144
2500 69.12 73.5 74 13.95 17 86 0 0 69.535 68 21.50 24 149
2077 69.555 72 86 12.57 32 86 0 0 68.65 66.5 20.57 21 126
702 68.245 72 85 14.15 29 86 0 0 70.355 68 22.09 22 127
348 71.685 73.5 81 10.82 39 86 0 0 65.7 65 17.78 21 108
648 68.165 71 75 13.19 21 86 0 0 71.02 69 20.27 25 136
957 69.47 72 81 12.31 37 86 0 0 69.08 65.5 19.30 26 115
2283 67.88 70 80 13.33 25 86 0 0 71.34 71 20.68 14 129
3204 69.135 71 72 12.24 34 86 0 0 69.245 69.5 19.79 22 122
1739 69.34 72 85 13.43 18 86 0 0 68.3 68 21.87 18 146
1474 68.92 72 85 13.68 22 86 0 0 69.735 66 21.45 22 142
2486 68.43 72 73 13.01 19 86 0 0 70.675 67 20.31 16 147
2067 69.215 72 73 12.64 31 86 0 0 68.835 68.5 20.44 24 125
3132 69.505 72 82 12.58 23 86 0 0 68.505 68 20.07 19 139
3364 70.13 73 81 12.70 28 86 0 0 67.69 66 20.04 21 119
2990 69.775 72.5 77 13.05 28 86 0 0 67.68 66 21.42 16 122
1367 68.87 70 83 12.34 28 86 0 0 70.07 70 19.33 24 134
3335 68.535 71 74 12.77 33 86 0 0 70.285 68 20.22 21 123
2467 80.355 83 86 6.76 54 86 0 0 47.315 46 16.53 14 93
1577 67.585 69.5 83 13.64 25 86 0 0 71.835 72 20.50 23 132
1657 69.45 72 84 13.13 30 86 0 0 68.855 68 20.78 23 118