Thread: [FF]: 2010 IRI
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Unread 11-07-2010, 14:07
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI

Disclaimer: This is only for fun

I thought it might be fun to compare how I would have drafted in each one of the positions versus the actual draft.

OK, here is a comparison according to my pick list:
Draw………………………………………………………………………… Theo * IER * Ratio
Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234… ………… 168 * 193 * 1.15
Basel A.................67..........573..........1501……… .. 167 * 194 * 1.16
Chris is me............33........1714..........51…………….. 166 * 195 * 1.17
Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118……… 165 * 176 * 1.07
Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058…….. 164 * 205 * 1.25
Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980…… … 163 * 131 * 0.80
bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71………… 162 * 117 * 0.72
rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868……. 161 * 173 * 1.07
JackN....................1625..........330........ ..70……… 160 * 191 * 1.19
jblay....................107.........135.........2 92………….. 159 * 82 * 0.52
Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771…… . 158 * 179 * 1.13
hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730…… 157 * 142 * 0.90
James1902................48..........68..........8 29……… 156 * 54 * 0.35
TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 ……….. 155 * 78 * 0.50
dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ...2775… 154 * 107 * 0.69 Is 2775 going?
sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830…… 153 * 185 * 1.21
EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902….. 152 * 158 * 1.04
IKE........................16..........111........ .2062……… 151 * 201 * 1.33
ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93……….. 150 * 73 * 0.49
XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37…….. 69 * 93 * 1.35

So, here is how my comparison worked. I took the picking order and assigned a theoretical scoring. #1 pick worth 81, #2 worth 80......down the line. Adding those up is the theoretical scoring each drafter could get (theo). I then assigned my picklist to be "the key" as I had ranked teams 1-81. I gave my #1 81 points, and so on and so forth. I then summed the scores relative to the order I would have picked things. Naturally since I am grading against my own curve, I should have a score of 1.0 or higher (assuming somone chooses off picks earlier in the draft). Please take this little comparison with a giant grain of salt.

So by the looks of it, Akash has the best picks of all getting what I felt were first round picks for all three of his. I have a really good feeling about my picks.

Biggest bargains I felt were 330 and 1058.

Note: If 2775 is going, then Dodar should have about an extra 60 or so points, but I thought they had dropped from the IRI roster.

Note2: My picks were largely (though not exclusively) based off of OPR. Many teams recieved what I felt was a proper boost due to unusual playing styles (2337 was one of them). I have a feeling bots like 2337 will fair very well at an event with the depth like the IRI. That being said, it is an off-season, so relying heavily on "in-season" data is not always a strong bet.
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