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Unread 11-12-2010, 09:07
diviney diviney is offline
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Re: FIRST Fundraiser: Selling LED "Lightbulbs"

You can quibble over the math and assumptions all you want. Regardless of the nuances there, it is clear to me that these can indeed "pay for themselves", and I think most of us (maybe not the general population) can get past the psychology and invest now for future savings...

Having said that, I still won't buy them (for an entirely different reason). It is my belief that this technology is changing so rapidly that I am better off waiting. In a couple years, the efficiencies will be even better, and the cost will be dramatically less.

To me, it's not a question of if, but rather when. Early adopters always get burned. Think of the guy that spent $5K on that 50" plasma TV. Now they are approaching $500 (10X reduction). I believe it won't be very long at all before the $20 LED bulb costs $2 (maybe even a couple years). Then I will put them all over the place while feeling sorry for the poor saps that paid $20 each.
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