I think the 2007 stats are a little more relevant here than last year.
Week 1
Qualification Average: 20.4
Qual Max Score: 260
Qual Min Score: 0
2011 Week 1 Regionals (2007 numbers from BAE, FLR, etc)
Qualification Average: 21.9
Qual Max Score: 260
Qual Min Score: 0
Now in 2007 the max score was much higher. I don't remember the total possible max score, but I think the highest posted score was ~338 points.
Notes
* 2007 Max score is likely over double 2011 max score
* Autonomous is much easier in 2011
* Minibots offer a very high potential, but are directly comparable to ramps
Theory
I think the max score vs an easier autonomous will somewhat balance out. Ramps will equal out minibot. Penalties exist in both games that can bring alliances to zero. I would bet that the AVERAGE Qualification score is about the same - 21 points.
Application - Week 1
* I will guess on average every third match will have two completing minibots (50 points spread across 6 alliances) Ave=8.33pts/alliance
* Assume 2 3pt penalty per match (on average) Ave =-3pts/alliance
* That means 15.67 points worth of tubes ~ 1 mid ubertube, 1 mid logo, 1 high tube or 3 low tubes.
21 points AVERAGE Qualification Score
