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#1
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Some data (shown below) for the past 12 years shows that our grow rate is starting to taper off. The numbers represent the number of teams that competed, not the number of teams that registered. Some teams sign up but drop out due to lack of funding or whatever.
Check out the % growth and how it has slowed down in the past two years. My prediction is that the growth will continue to slow down. There are 888 teams registered at the time I am writing this. It may even go above 910. But I predict we will have 910 or less teams actually compete in at least one event this year. Code:
Year Total % Gain% 1992 28 1993 25 -10.7% 1994 44 76.0% 1995 59 34.1% 1996 93 57.6% 1997 155 66.7% 1998 199 28.4% 1999 269 35.2% 2000 373 38.7% 2001 517 38.6% 2002 670 29.6% 2003 787 17.5% 2004 910 15.6% 2005 1030 13.2% |
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Re: How big will FIRST ever get?
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#3
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Re: How big will FIRST ever get?
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Re: How big will FIRST ever get?
Joe
I agree. I think last year was about 927 teams. Raul came very close, particularly when considering the unknown factor of NASA sponsoring almost 200 teams last year. FIRST has added 15 % more regionals this year or about 150 more teams. Looks to me, FIRST is expecting a maximum of 1077 this year. We shall see. Mr. Bill |
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#5
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Re: How big will FIRST ever get?
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No one was claiming that FIRST was dying, people were just trying to determine where an equilibrium point may occur. |
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#6
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Re: How big will FIRST ever get?
I don't think has reached saturation, just that the economy has slowed down, and the businesses that support new and old teams are cutting back spending, or disappearing. So I guess there would be fewer team growth. Death isn't through shrinking, but through ideological failure.
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