paper: 2011 Team 1114 Championship Scouting Database

[Joe Ross]

Originally Posted by Karthik

Chris,

I do agree that the normalization goes the wrong way when it comes to MSC. However, MSC is just a complete statistical aberration due to the overall strength of the state of Michigan, and the exclusive nature of the event. Most other regionals never really got to the point where they reached the point of diminishing returns of tube scoring in qualifying, or never consistently had three scoring robots on a qualifying alliance. What we saw more of was many weak regionals where only 1-6 teams could score effectively, as such there were considerably lower scores. (Events with elimination matches where only 7 points were scored, etc.)

I think that linearly scaling the entire average contribution or OPR skews it too much at weaker regionals. Based on the two events 330 attended, Arizona was much weaker then LA, as the statistics show. Our performance was also worse at Arizona. With the current scaling, the Average Offensive Score scaling is 113.7 at Arizona and 79.5 at LA. The Arizona value is very much over inflated. I think a better scaling would be

normalized value = (team - regional average) + worldwide average

This results in an AZ offensive score of around 67, which makes sense to me. This way you're only compensating for the regional difference, and not the teams performance.

Thank you to Geoff Allan, Ben Bennett and Roberto Rotolo!