2011 Galileo Division

[Joe Ross]

Similar to what I did in previous years, I ran through 100 simulated qualification match schedules (all 148 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's highest opr at any event for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 100 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.

Team	OPR	Avg Rnk	Med Rnk	Mod Rnk	SD Rnk	Max Rnk	Min Rnk	#1 seed	Top 8	Avg QP	Med QP	Mode QP	StdevQP	Max QP	Min QP
111	73.92	5.68	4	1	6.6	43	1	31	81	17.57	18	18	2.15	20	10
1114	71.88	5.96	3	2	7.0	36	1	15	83	17.48	18	18	2.27	20	10
254	71.59	5.39	3.5	2	4.9	25	1	16	82	17.55	18	18	2.01	20	12
48	56.18	15.94	12	16	13.8	66	1	6	39	14.78	15	16	3.11	20	6
341	55.71	11.31	8	3	9.2	42	1	4	52	15.79	16	16	2.54	20	10
1985	55.65	12.14	8	7	10.9	53	1	5	53	15.71	16	18	2.68	20	8
2137	53.35	15.44	13	9	10.7	50	1	2	26	14.75	16	16	2.46	20	8
359	51.85	16.46	11.5	10	13.8	66	1	5	34	14.79	16	16	3.17	20	6
967	50.98	17.16	15	10	12.2	50	1	4	29	14.54	14	16	2.99	20	8
469	50.56	18.29	14.5	13	12.3	52	1	3	23	14.15	14	14	2.72	20	8
935	47.66	17.78	16	24	11.2	65	1	1	22	14.19	14	16	2.52	18	6
399	45.99	21.9	17	12	14.9	66	2	0	17	13.53	14	14	2.90	18	6
294	45.80	19.24	16	11	12.3	57	2	0	18	14.03	14	14	2.69	20	8
1218	45.52	21.73	19.5	27	13.0	59	2	0	15	13.46	14	14	2.76	20	7
63	45.52	20.55	18	12	14.1	66	1	1	20	13.93	14	16	2.85	20	7
973	43.66	22.93	19.5	19	14.5	66	2	0	14	13.37	14	14	2.91	20	6
610	42.84	25.36	24	27	15.5	67	2	0	13	12.91	12.5	12	3.00	20	6
2337	42.48	25.93	24.5	9	16.7	69	1	2	15	12.85	13	14	3.22	20	6
1056	42.46	24.56	22	40	15.0	65	2	0	14	13.12	14	14	3.02	20	6
548	42.42	24.7	23.5	15	13.9	67	1	1	10	13.12	13	14	2.80	20	6
40	40.63	23.91	21	12	16.5	77	2	0	16	13.17	14	12	3.18	20	4
1425	38.44	26.66	25	13	15.5	81	3	0	12	12.72	12	12	2.92	18	4
1868	37.73	27.74	23	22	17.3	83	1	2	9	12.54	14	14	3.29	20	4
1885	37.59	28.43	26	39	16.1	68	4	0	7	12.4	12	12	2.91	18	6
395	37.48	32.4	29	29	18.9	80	3	0	13	11.73	12	12	3.45	18	4
1771	36.86	28.8	28	21	16.3	74	3	0	12	12.34	12	14	3.12	20	5
1334	36.82	30	26	23	17.6	86	2	0	5	12.21	12	14	3.32	20	2
694	36.60	29.14	27	18	14.9	64	4	0	10	12.29	12	14	2.82	18	6
195	35.83	29.09	28.5	38	14.6	80	2	0	5	12.26	12	12	2.78	20	4
175	35.26	33.55	32.5	53	17.6	80	5	0	6	11.52	12	10	3.16	18	4
1086	34.92	31.78	33	27	17.1	70	2	0	12	11.91	12	10	3.27	20	6
292	33.35	34.93	33	31	15.6	77	8	0	1	11.36	12	12	2.87	18	4
230	32.28	35.27	31.5	27	18.5	85	2	0	4	11.27	12	12	3.43	20	2
1714	32.14	34.46	30.5	28	17.0	85	4	0	2	11.34	12	12	3.01	18	2
70	31.59	36.92	37	40	15.9	76	1	1	1	10.88	11	12	2.86	20	4
1197	31.29	35.07	34.5	30	17.3	79	3	0	2	11.24	12	12	3.05	18	4
1098	31.01	37.47	35	41	18.2	80	2	0	4	10.87	12	12	3.19	18	4
476	30.34	36.13	34	12	17.7	85	5	0	3	11.23	12	12	3.24	18	2
1429	30.08	34.33	31	39	17.3	82	1	1	2	11.41	12	12	3.15	20	4
295	28.86	36.33	36	36	17.6	84	2	0	4	11.21	11.5	12	3.29	20	2
188	27.99	42.66	42	53	16.6	84	7	0	2	10.04	10	10	3.03	18	2
1305	26.52	40.01	38.5	34	17.7	86	3	0	4	10.54	10	10	3.17	18	2
3824	25.86	42.17	42	32	18.1	87	8	0	1	10.24	10	12	3.24	18	2
93	24.95	41.87	38.5	28	17.0	81	9	0	0	10.21	10	12	2.76	16	4
281	23.85	45.87	46.5	56	16.6	82	12	0	0	9.58	10	8	2.74	15	4
173	20.05	48.08	47	47	16.1	85	12	0	0	9.33	10	10	2.79	16	2
3393	18.41	50.99	54.5	58	18.4	85	11	0	0	8.95	8	8	3.11	16	2
1816	15.60	49.97	50.5	54	17.6	87	13	0	0	9.16	9	8	2.87	16	3
2073	15.60	56.9	59	68	17.1	85	20	0	0	8.01	8	6	2.93	14	2
433	15.45	54.66	55.5	65	17.3	86	18	0	0	8.26	8	8	2.98	15	2
2199	13.01	58.04	58	47	16.7	88	13	0	0	7.79	8	10	2.96	15	0
3504	12.07	60.58	61	67	15.9	88	11	0	0	7.32	8	8	2.76	16	2
3464	12.05	58.33	58	48	17.1	87	15	0	0	7.7	8	8	3.01	14	1
3487	11.86	57.24	58	69	17.9	87	11	0	0	7.94	8	10	3.08	16	2
2472	11.78	59.98	62	79	18.4	88	13	0	0	7.4	7.5	6	3.22	16	0
3729	11.63	60.49	60	78	16.5	88	17	0	0	7.29	8	8	3.11	14	0
2607	11.30	63.5	64.5	78	15.4	88	22	0	0	6.94	7	8	2.76	14	0
1099	11.01	56.64	58	78	16.3	87	11	0	0	8.14	8	8	2.80	16	0
1188	10.75	59.63	60.5	60	18.7	87	4	0	1	7.57	8	10	3.32	18	2
1094	10.12	60.57	60	60	16.8	87	21	0	0	7.46	8	10	2.99	14	1
1646	10.09	57.44	58	68	16.4	87	18	0	0	8.03	8	6	2.84	14	0
1522	10.08	60.15	62	62	17.1	88	15	0	0	7.49	8	8	3.11	14	0
884	9.71	57.12	59	49	17.5	88	11	0	0	8.01	8	8	3.04	16	2
3574	7.34	61.13	64	73	19.6	88	8	0	1	7.31	8	8	3.52	18	0
1557	7.12	63.29	64	83	14.3	87	16	0	0	7.05	7	6	2.62	15	2
3374	6.79	59.68	60	66	17.3	87	21	0	0	7.53	8	8	3.10	14	2
357	6.68	62.17	64	71	15.4	88	16	0	0	7.14	7.5	8	2.74	14	0
751	6.64	64.79	68	74	17.7	88	19	0	0	6.71	6	6	3.24	14	0
1266	6.52	62.73	66.5	69	18.2	88	4	0	1	7.13	6	6	3.35	18	0
1706	6.21	63.02	65	81	17.1	88	12	0	0	7.12	8	6	3.11	16	0
3711	5.99	64.35	67.5	62	17.1	88	15	0	0	6.77	6	6	3.23	16	0
1288	5.75	62.41	65	36	17.4	88	22	0	0	7.1	6.5	6	3.17	13	0
159	5.24	67.09	70.5	88	17.2	88	15	0	0	6.31	6	6	3.19	15	0
1444	5.14	65.92	68	61	15.2	88	23	0	0	6.67	6	6	2.88	14	0
3397	4.82	67.17	69.5	73	14.8	88	15	0	0	6.37	6	6	2.77	16	0
3645	4.38	67.01	69.5	72	14.0	88	34	0	0	6.43	6	6	2.60	12	2
3588	3.72	66.94	71	81	15.6	88	32	0	0	6.49	6	8	2.88	12	0
329	3.56	69.34	72	72	14.5	88	35	0	0	5.99	6	6	2.90	12	0
3526	3.02	66.54	70	54	16.6	88	16	0	0	6.48	6	6	3.10	14	0
999	2.87	68.78	71	70	14.0	88	32	0	0	6.17	6	6	2.68	12	0
3528	2.79	69.08	72.5	85	13.9	88	31	0	0	6.04	6	6	2.67	12	0
3527	1.59	69.66	73	84	14.1	88	24	0	0	6.01	6	6	2.71	13	0
3466	0.36	72.22	77	88	14.5	88	25	0	0	5.51	5.5	4	2.83	14	0
1212	-0.45	72.58	75.5	86	12.9	88	42	0	0	5.43	6	6	2.68	10	0
3132	-0.65	72.83	75.5	85	12.5	88	34	0	0	5.57	6	6	2.48	12	0
1700	-2.74	76.83	78.5	87	10.2	88	46	0	0	4.86	4	6	2.32	10	0
151	-4.18	72.66	76.5	88	12.9	88	33	0	0	5.65	6	4	2.65	12	0
3750	-5.61	74.03	77	88	13.1	88	31	0	0	5.24	6	6	2.83	12	0

[Travis Hoffman]

Originally Posted by Joe Ross

Similar to what I did in previous years, I ran through 100 simulated qualification match schedules (all 148 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's highest opr at any event for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 100 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.

Thanks, Joe.

And here, I thought it was just me when I got the impression we got horrible CMP match schedules every year. Gives me really warm fuzzies that you're using the actual match pairing algorithm, and it tends to derate us relative to those with similar OPR inputs after dozens of schedule runs.....

Makes one wonder if there's a low team number handicap somehow inherent within the algorithm...a greater tendency to be paired with higher numbered teams...vestiges of the AOD...who knows!

[The Lucas]

Originally Posted by Travis Hoffman

Makes one wonder if there's a low team number handicap somehow inherent within the algorithm...a greater tendency to be paired with higher numbered teams...vestiges of the AOD...who knows!

Maybe only if (team_number == 48) Teams 63 and 40 seem to do a bit better than those with similar OPR.

If there is a such thing as scheduler karma, then the question is what did you do?

[Travis Hoffman]

Oh, you know us...kicking puppies and stealing candy from babies and all.

[Steve W]

Originally Posted by Travis Hoffman

Oh, you know us...kicking puppies and stealing candy from babies and all.

Leave my candy alone!!!!