2011 Galileo Division

[kendalls]

Originally Posted by Ian Curtis

For your amusement, here are the predicted top 8 (no surrogates affecting these).
[/code]

More for my amusement than anything else I created an OPR match predictor for the Galileo division. It can be modded for any of the other divisions (or for any tournament for that matter), but it isn't super easy. I posted it here: http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...d.php?&t=94888. My spreadsheet also allows you to enter in the actual match results, so it'll get more accurate as more and more matches are played.

[nikeairmancurry]

A full rack on this field... Congrats 469/254/195.... Too bad on the uber tube part

[Warlord]

Originally Posted by JamesBrown

Some matches that should be high scoring (based on Total Alliance OPR)
...
#56 Red Alliance 157.98
...

Originally Posted by nikeairmancurry

A full rack on this field... Congrats 469/254/195.... Too bad on the uber tube part

Heh, turned out that prediction was pretty accurate. Very impressive to watch that wall of tubes get built, and with 20 seconds to spare!

Anyone got a video of that match? We're trying to figure out who scored the most tubes, we think 195 scored 7 or so of them.

[Karibou]

Galileo, you guys have been great on and off the field. Hopefully tomorrow will go just as smoothly, even with the change of field.


However, our refs have gotten really good at catching the tubes that are flying at them and the table...did anyone see when the green-red-blue light got capped earlier?

[Bryany]

Originally Posted by Warlord

Anyone got a video of that match? We're trying to figure out who scored the most tubes, we think 195 scored 7 or so of them.

We were queued up behind Red when that match took place. It seemed like 254 was doing a lot of the scoring, but I didn't really keep track. Our team is capturing the live camera feed, and will probably post the videos once all is over. Of course, that doesn't help much now.

[Tom Bottiglieri]

Originally Posted by Warlord

Heh, turned out that prediction was pretty accurate. Very impressive to watch that wall of tubes get built, and with 20 seconds to spare!

Anyone got a video of that match? We're trying to figure out who scored the most tubes, we think 195 scored 7 or so of them.

195 did 7. 469 did 6. 254 did 5. 469 and 254 minibotted.

[Brandon Holley]

Originally Posted by Tom Bottiglieri

195 did 7. 469 did 6. 254 did 5. 469 and 254 minibotted.

While 195 spun in a circle at mid-field...

-Brando

[Racer26]

What happened to 1114 in match Q71?

Thats the second match they've lost all year, the first one was way back in wk 2 at Pittsburgh, and was only by 13 pts. This one they lost by 69.

[ervtech]

the same thing that happened in 2009

1218 remains a force to be reckoned with, especially when paired with 469

[Lil' Lavery]

Originally Posted by ervtech

the same thing that happened in 2009

1218 remains a force to be reckoned with, especially when paired with 469

A lot of teams look really good when they're paired with 469.

To be fair, 1218 has already handed both 1114 and 111 losses. Quite a start for you guys.

[ervtech]

I wish i was there so badly, i was on the drive team in 2009 when we went to Einstein but unfortunately i graduated last year and have turned it over to my little brother. He is not doing too bad of a job though i have to say. We have a pretty good history when paired with 469 and also when we go against 1114. In the matches we have played against them as far back as i can remember we are 3-1.

[AndyH]

We were with 1114 in Q 71. It wasn't their fault AT ALL. We (1098) were really hoping to be great alliance partners for them. Instead, our main breaker failed and we were dead after the first 2 seconds. (It had been hit by a bot in a previous match, but we didn't realize it was hurt.) We feel terrible!! We did get it fixed, and our next match was actually the new high score on Galileo. That doesn't help 1114, though. You can imagine how the kids are beating themselves up about that loss. Our sincere apologies to both of our alliance partners. Good luck for the rest of the competition. We are rooting for you!

The opposing alliance was also fantastic! Congrats to you!

[JesseK]

Going into Q71, we went in that match knowing our overall alliances were evenly matched in stats other than OPR (thank you scouts!). Tubes hung, autos completed, and top 2 minibots were both about dead-even. Everyone has that one bad match every now and then though. It does show that any number of things can happen at the champs. While we did our part with 1 logo and a tiny defensive nudge at the end, 469/1218 put on a good show.

There's a good assortment of teams on Galileo. Some teams are outstanding at placing tubes (3 teams have placed 45+ tubes in 8-9 matches), some have good auto-modes (1 team has put up 10 ubertubes in 8 matches), and some teams have good, consistent minibots (NONE have a perfect record ... though I admit there is a chance we missed one due to fatigue). Yet surprisingly, those three game objectives are somewhat mutually exclusive. According to our scouts' data, there are only 2 teams that are outstanding at all three objectives, whereas there are many teams that are GREAT at one and good at another.

Reliability in auton and minibot hasn't been quite where we'd expect it. Only 7 teams have a >78% autonomous reliability and only 8 teams have a >78% minibot reliability. Those two stats are mutually exclusive for the most part.

JVN is wise indeed.

[RMiller]

Originally Posted by JesseK

Reliability in auton and minibot hasn't been quite where we'd expect it. Only 7 teams have a >78% autonomous reliability and only 8 teams have a >78% minibot reliability. Those two stats are mutually exclusive for the most part.

Jesse, one question: if I understand you correctly, a team with 7/9 (77.7%) for these two measures is not counted, correct?

If this is not correct and 7/9 is counted, how much does it change when dropping to 75% (6/8) as the cutoff? I ask because about half the teams have yet to complete their 9th match.

[JesseK]

Didn't realize about the 8/9 match thing at the time -- I simply counted the # of teams who have hung 7+ tubes, and assumed an average of 9 matches played. Using a correction from 1094's Galileo scouting paper, it appears that about half have played 8, half have played 9; I also took the opportunity to correct 2 teams' auto modes, and now get 8 teams with 7+ ubertubes. Yet I also have circled teams who've hung 1 in the last 5 straight auto modes and that # is 7, so I figure I'm not too far off. Even if it's 10-15, it seems low for what we should see at the championships -- especially for an autonomous mode that's nearly identical (if not easier) than what we saw 4 years ago.