Car Nack Predicts 12-1

[pfreivald]

Originally Posted by ahollenbach

Today at the Finger Lakes Regional Elimination match 10 (1551 3613 229,3173 1126 174), 3173 1126 and 174 managed to score 36

Indeed it did! It was a very impressive ouchy to be on the receiving end of!

[pandamonium]

Breaking this in week 2 leads me to believe that the record of 36 will be broken again. 48 does not seem impossible.

[gyroscopeRaptor]

I could see an exhibition match at IRI where all the balls are on the center bridge and the baskets keep happening. I'm still doubting 48 due to the fact that three shooters would have to spin up and fire 8 balls in less than 15 seconds, but I could see 40ish from two pointers.

[Travis Hoffman]

This was counted at the Pittsburgh Regional as a 6-ball, 36-point hybrid mode:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24bx4J4tNq8

The final score is shown on the screen at match end as 51 Basket Points and 20 Bridge Points, but the head ref adjusted the score to 74-0 to account for the extra three points not credited in hybrid.

I'll take it.

[wo-bot 141]

Also was done in the 3rd round of West Michigan District Event. with 2054, 3546, and 141.

[Donut]

Match 47 at Wisconsin today with teams 3418, 2481, and 2062 had a 36 point autonomous. At this point I believe this is the first qualification match to have it happen.

[Hallry]

Well, I believe 341, 233, and 246 just proved Carnack wrong by getting 46 points in Hybrid mode in the second (and last) finals match in Boston.

1114, 2056, and 4372 also just got 36 points in hybrid in the second (and last) final match in Waterloo.

[vikesrock777]

Originally Posted by Hallry

1114, 2056, and 4372 also just got 36 points in hybrid in the second (and last) final match in Waterloo.

1114, 2056, and 4372 also got 41 the match before.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7inQWqIW9k&list
Fast forward to about 6:10 for the start of autonomous.

[SciBorg Dave]

Spokane regional team 2122-1983-4082 just did 36 in the finals 2 times in a row. To make things more interesting team 4082 had no mechanical shooter or a mechanical way you outbound the balls. I hope they get a video up and running of the finals for all to see.

[mwmac]

Originally Posted by SciBorg Dave

Spokane regional team 2122-1983-4082 just did 36 in the finals 2 times in a row. To make things more interesting team 4082 had no mechanical shooter or a mechanical way you outbound the balls. I hope they get a video up and running of the finals for all to see.

Thanks Dave for the kind words. It took us the qtrs and semis to get hybrid dialed in cleanly just in time for the finals. Thanks go to our friends on 1983 (especially for being open to our hybrid idea), and to our new friends on 4082. See you all in St. Louis!

[Kris Verdeyen]

I've noticed that i am bad at using Chief Delphi's user interface (thanks Leeland). It would be interesting to see what his overall record is with the benefit of hindsight, because this year, it's pretty bad...

[LeelandS]

Originally Posted by Kris Verdeyen

I've noticed that all of Car Nack's predictions from previous years have been taken down. It would be interesting to see what his overall record is with the benefit of hindsight, because this year, it's pretty bad...

If you go to the 'Car Nack's Corner' section of the forums, you can change the range of times the threads are shown. If you change it to 'from the beginning', you can see all of Car Nack's predictions.

Overall, he's usually pretty accurate. He usually has about 1, maybe 2, incorrect prediction a year, or is not proven wrong until the championship when the best teams ally and beat the bejeezus out of his predictions. I guess it's just an off year for the Wise One from The Endless Sands.

I don't expect it to happen often, if ever again.

[EricH]

Originally Posted by Kris Verdeyen

I've noticed that all of Car Nack's predictions from previous years have been taken down. It would be interesting to see what his overall record is with the benefit of hindsight, because this year, it's pretty bad...

I can still see the threads in Car Nack's Corner going back to 2004. This isn't the first time that I've been able to see stuff going farther back than someone else, though...

And wouldn't you know it, I once decided to try to track Car Nack's record.

This year he's actually 1-2. (#2 is pretty much spot on.)
Last year: 1-2.
2010: 3-2 (#5 that year, a scoring prediction, actually had two, both correct.)
2009: 3-1, with the one incorrect one being fans not being any good. (#4 that year was that 1/12 of Einstein would have a fan.)
2008: 2-1, with the incorrect one being half of a double and the other, more specific half (at least one event), being correct.
2007: 2-1; keepers weren't rare as predicted, but at least one event had <5 as predicted.
2006: 3-3. One of the successes was the use of at least four "real time humans" due to problems with the scoring system. One of the few Car Nack publicly hoped he was wrong about...
2005: 1-2, with one unconfirmed. (The unconfirmed one was an average number of tetras; one of the incorrect predictions was a preseason "There will be no three-team alliances".)
2004: 7 predictions. 3-2 record. One prediction--a high score--I haven't seen any evidence either way. Another had a given which was resolved and therefore cannot be called as either correct or incorrect. And no, I didn't see any straitjackets for the real-time scoring operator.

Overall... 19-16, 2 unconfirmed. About 54%.

[mwmac]

Originally Posted by SciBorg Dave

Spokane regional team 2122-1983-4082 just did 36 in the finals 2 times in a row. To make things more interesting team 4082 had no mechanical shooter or a mechanical way you outbound the balls. I hope they get a video up and running of the finals for all to see.

Check out hybrid in Finals Match 1 at approx. 7:20 mark...enjoy

http://www.justin.tv/firstwa1/b/314237877

[mwmac]

Originally Posted by mwmac

Check out hybrid in Finals Match 1 at approx. 7:20 mark...enjoy

http://www.justin.tv/firstwa1/b/314237877

Link no longer works,

Here is a video that shows Finals Match 2 with hybrid scoring...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ofefwcw56Ow