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Unread 19-04-2012, 09:29
Andrew Lawrence
 
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Re: Divisions 2012

Quote:
Originally Posted by CalTran View Post
I'm thinking so as well. My prediction? 469+1717 vs. 67+2056.
Agreed. And Newton's gonna win.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 09:33
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by SuperNerd256 View Post
Agreed. And Newton's gonna win.
NOOOOO...67+2056 is an unstoppable alliance
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Unread 19-04-2012, 09:39
Andrew Lawrence
 
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by xSAWxBLADEx View Post
NOOOOO...67+2056 is an unstoppable alliance
Unstoppable until Einstein. Unfortunately, while I love those teams, looking around there are very few things unique about them. As the championships come closer, I think we'll be seeing a lot more of the 5/6 ball autons, the extremely high scores, everything. What's going to stand out is any obvious advantage over the other team, and what's going to win is an unobvious advantage over the other team. 67 and 469 know each other well. I think with the two of them against each other, we're going to see massive strategies unfold, and it will rely on their alliance partners to unbalance the equal skill between the two. I'd go as far as to say 1717 equals 2056 in scoring, and bridge balancing, so it's up to the third partner.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 12:14
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by SuperNerd256 View Post
Agreed. And Newton's gonna win.
They aren't. Not because 67/2056 is unstoppable (remember, 469 and 1114 was unstoppable in 2010), but because the odds of the stacked division winning are low.

It happens every year: The division lists come out, some division is quickly pegged as stacked, and predicted to win it all. Sometime on Einstein, that alliance loses two, and they don't win it all. This may be due to the epic battles royale in the divisional eliminations, or the breakup of really, really top teams, or something else entirely.

The only thing more predictable is Curie not winning it all.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 12:21
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Re: Divisions 2012

Quote:
Originally Posted by EricH View Post
They aren't. Not because 67/2056 is unstoppable (remember, 469 and 1114 was unstoppable in 2010), but because the odds of the stacked division winning are low.

It happens every year: The division lists come out, some division is quickly pegged as stacked, and predicted to win it all. Sometime on Einstein, that alliance loses two, and they don't win it all. This may be due to the epic battles royale in the divisional eliminations, or the breakup of really, really top teams, or something else entirely.

The only thing more predictable is Curie not winning it all.
The "stacked" division won both in 2008, 2009, 2011.... That's 3 of 4 recent years.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 12:29
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by AdamHeard View Post
The "stacked" division won both in 2008, 2009, 2011.... That's 3 of 4 recent years.
After not winning in a BUNCH of other years. 2007, Curie. 2005, Archimedes, IIRC (might be another, but not Newton). I want to say it was Galileo in 2004--Archimedes won. I don't remember the stacked division in 2006, but it might have been Newton with the 254/968 twins. (I don't remember which division won.)

2004, 2005, 2007, 2010, stacked didn't win.
2008, 2009, 2011, stacked won.
2006 needs more research.

I think that's a bit more odds against the stacked division winning than 25%...
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Unread 19-04-2012, 12:48
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Re: Divisions 2012

Quote:
Originally Posted by EricH View Post
2006 needs more research.
Newton 2006 was IMHO the most stacked division I can remember in my 10 years in FIRST.

Newton ended up being finalists...
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Unread 20-04-2012, 10:00
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Re: Divisions 2012

Quote:
Originally Posted by jwfoss View Post
Newton 2006 was IMHO the most stacked division I can remember in my 10 years in FIRST.

Newton ended up being finalists...
Yup, I agree. And 176's strategic alliance-breaking alliance selection was one of the more brilliant moves I've seen in my FIRST memory.
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Unread 20-04-2012, 10:07
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by Kim Masi View Post
Yup, I agree. And 176's strategic alliance-breaking alliance selection was one of the more brilliant moves I've seen in my FIRST memory.
thank 111 for that
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Unread 20-04-2012, 10:11
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by nuggetsyl View Post
thank 111 for that
I respectfully disagree. Although we couldn't have been happier with 111 as our alliance partner.
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Unread 20-04-2012, 10:16
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by jwfoss View Post
I respectfully disagree. Although we couldn't have been happier with 111 as our alliance partner.
Just ask Raul how it went down. It was a great strategic move.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 13:43
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Re: Divisions 2012

I think this year has been a bunch of upsets and with the co-op points affecting seeding heavily this year. I believe there will be upsets this year as there has been all season.

But there is a high chance this year that a robot could get a good schedule and end up seeding high maybe breaking up powerhouses. Like the 2056/1114 breakup.

I do think arch is my prediction to win.....
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Unread 19-04-2012, 14:28
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by EricH View Post
The only thing more predictable is Curie not winning it all.
Maybe the Curie winners should just concede their Einstein matches and pack it up...no way to break a curse, right? (Insert missing sarcasm Smile)
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Unread 19-04-2012, 14:55
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Re: Divisions 2012

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Originally Posted by EricH View Post
The only thing more predictable is Curie not winning it all.
I can't wrap my head around this statement. Is it a foregone conclusion that the best team in each division will seed #1, choose the 2nd best team as their partner, and advance to Einstein scoring exactly in line with their current, pre-Championship OPR? It's anybody's ball game.
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Unread 19-04-2012, 14:58
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Re: Divisions 2012

Two new teams: 2851 in Archimedes and 1178 in Newton. Now 400 teams total.
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