The Great Database

[IKE]

I love the idea of "the Great Database", but sometimes statistics are not the most accurate measure of a teams impact as well.

In 2010, I know a team that scored 11 goals in 1 match. Most other matches they were under 2. The reason was that they were fed balls. It turns out when partnered with the "non-scoring" but passing team, others had such success.
In basketball, often a good player will get stronger defense applied to them. Sometimes even double-teammed while the player scores less, his team will actually score more as the other players are more lightly defended. In basketball, they are starting to use a metric called +/- that accounts for this.
This year, I suspect OPR or CCWM or LS will have a close correlation to team performance. It might have the closest correlation since 2008 in which it was was an earily accurrate predicter.

*Brownie points for why I bolded team.