OPR after Week Five Events

[Ether]

Originally Posted by Ether

That's a valid criticism, which could be addressed by using Weeks 1 thru 4 OPR numbers to predict Week5 outcomes.

OK, here's qual matches of Week5 events being predicted by OPR World rank based on weeks 1 thru 4 data only. 72% correct

This is a pessimistic estimate, since data gathered during the Week5 events for already-played qual matches could be used to supplement the weeks 1 thru 4 data to predict future qual matches in the Week5 events.

Based on the earlier post by efoote868, future qual matches at any given event are best predicted by OPR of already-played matches at that event, once a sufficient number of matches has been played.

Forgot to mention: columns V thru AA list the teams for each match for which no week 1 thru 4 OPR data is available.