Similar to what I did in
previous years, I ran through 100 simulated qualification match schedules (with 12 matches per team, using the FIRST match generator).
I used each team's world rank OPR from Ed Law's spreadsheet to determine their contribution to a match. I also used the autonomous OPR, climb OPR, and teleop OPR to help calculate the standings.
I calculated the results for each of the 100 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
The following were the values that were used in the simulation
Code:
OPR Teleop Auto Climb
225 66.85 43.11 16.39 7.14
2590 58.95 31.09 20.83 7.10
11 58.61 34.37 13.83 10.25
1676 54.55 28.85 15.82 10.23
316 47.33 25.38 13.25 9.34
1626 45.57 21.90 13.70 10.12
2729 45.15 22.83 13.70 8.52
293 44.97 23.39 14.56 7.11
103 43.65 21.94 14.10 7.62
3974 42.96 20.76 13.54 9.41
56 42.16 20.50 11.56 10.21
303 39.84 31.01 7.44 1.52
1228 38.48 19.25 8.71 10.51
1218 33.81 13.65 10.56 8.40
3314 33.73 13.69 14.17 6.10
4575 32.75 15.83 16.66 0.91
2607 32.74 5.69 13.42 13.43
222 32.67 15.91 10.49 6.07
1640 32.44 22.59 9.79 0.79
1391 32.07 18.38 9.19 5.26
4285 31.16 13.59 11.01 6.67
1279 30.87 12.53 15.09 3.36
1403 29.62 7.58 15.58 6.35
193 27.77 13.31 8.64 5.96
816 27.55 10.86 6.89 9.78
2539 27.14 5.99 10.95 9.93
272 26.92 11.84 8.62 6.46
4342 26.58 11.84 11.18 4.25
75 25.06 -0.01 1.34 23.68
1370 24.92 11.44 7.13 6.46
2559 24.12 8.80 7.98 7.49
486 21.91 3.12 12.37 7.07
1089 21.83 9.44 8.04 4.47
1302 19.26 9.02 6.57 3.71
357 18.22 3.50 6.82 8.59
433 18.06 8.07 7.43 3.22
1367 16.95 2.90 10.63 4.02
224 16.35 2.48 8.50 5.42
1923 15.94 6.53 4.31 5.09
1881 15.01 4.14 7.29 3.63
3340 14.55 5.20 3.14 6.34
1672 14.00 7.46 1.25 5.52
714 12.35 6.07 1.95 4.56
223 11.96 3.13 4.51 4.44
4475 11.72 6.66 4.82 0.38
869 10.11 4.09 0.60 5.54
4460 9.55 4.15 1.37 4.03
1143 9.13 4.85 5.42 -0.93
2495 7.35 6.10 0.85 -0.83
Here are the results of how teams seed:
Code:
AvgRnk MedRnk ModeRnk MinRnk MaxRnk SDRnk #1Seed Top8
225 2.53 2 1 1 15 2.18 39 97
2590 3.64 3 1 1 14 2.73 23 92
11 4.26 4 4 1 14 2.97 16 90
1676 4.99 4 4 1 20 3.71 12 87
316 10.04 9 7 1 37 6.85 3 47
1626 10.57 9 11 1 30 6.27 3 42
2729 10.4 9 8 2 26 5.85 0 48
293 9.9 8 7 1 31 5.97 1 51
103 10.55 10 8 2 30 6.13 0 46
3974 10.34 9 7 1 29 6.04 2 42
56 12.55 11 8 1 34 6.79 1 32
303 16.52 15 15 2 39 7.95 0 15
1228 16.18 15 17 4 43 8.01 0 17
1218 18.55 18 18 3 38 8.09 0 9
3314 19.12 19 16 3 45 8.99 0 14
4575 18.84 19 20 3 43 7.99 0 9
2607 18.55 17 14 3 43 8.86 0 10
222 21.3 21 17 5 42 8.22 0 5
1640 22.6 23 23 7 42 8.53 0 4
1391 21.29 21 19 5 43 8.80 0 7
4285 20.57 20.5 30 2 39 8.14 0 7
1279 20.54 20 15 4 45 8.22 0 6
1403 21.52 21.5 29 4 43 9.30 0 5
193 26.01 26 27 8 45 9.34 0 2
816 26.07 26 32 5 47 9.02 0 2
2539 27.05 29 30 4 47 9.62 0 4
272 26.44 25 25 5 47 9.44 0 2
4342 24.54 24 29 4 44 8.80 0 3
75 30.26 32 36 9 48 9.73 0 0
1370 29.06 31 34 7 45 9.13 0 2
2559 28.55 28 26 5 48 8.71 0 2
486 29.34 29 28 7 49 8.70 0 1
1089 32.44 33 38 12 46 8.17 0 0
1302 34.61 35 38 15 48 7.95 0 0
357 34.79 36 43 10 48 8.20 0 0
433 34.52 34.5 41 11 49 8.27 0 0
1367 34.14 36 38 17 49 8.83 0 0
224 34.69 36 31 13 49 9.03 0 0
1923 36.46 39 41 10 49 8.49 0 0
1881 36.58 37 35 11 49 8.39 0 0
3340 39.61 40.5 41 17 49 6.73 0 0
1672 40.16 41.5 48 15 49 7.15 0 0
714 41.39 43 40 16 49 6.32 0 0
223 38.62 40 46 21 49 6.92 0 0
4475 41.02 42 40 19 49 5.91 0 0
869 43.51 45 47 20 49 5.80 0 0
4460 43.43 44 48 28 49 4.99 0 0
1143 42.22 44 47 22 49 5.90 0 0
2495 44.14 46 49 22 49 5.61 0 0
Here are the results for number of wins:
Code:
AvgWins MedWins ModeWins MinWins MaxWins SDWins
225 10.75 11 11 7 12 0.96
2590 9.9 10 10 7 12 1.17
11 10.12 10 10 8 12 1.06
1676 9.57 10 10 6 12 1.20
316 8.47 8.5 9 4 12 1.52
1626 8.23 8 8 5 11 1.34
2729 8.2 8 8 5 11 1.33
293 8.19 8 8 5 11 1.29
103 8.2 8 8 5 11 1.40
3974 8.23 8 7 5 11 1.42
56 7.92 8 8 4 12 1.40
303 7.5 7.5 8 4 11 1.43
1228 7.44 8 8 3 11 1.42
1218 6.82 7 7 4 10 1.32
3314 6.49 6 6 3 10 1.46
4575 6.36 6 6 3 10 1.28
2607 6.66 7 7 3 11 1.48
222 6.37 6 6 3 9 1.32
1640 6.23 6 6 3 9 1.46
1391 6.5 6.5 7 3 10 1.48
4285 6.47 6 6 4 11 1.41
1279 6.17 6 6 3 9 1.24
1403 6.03 6 5 3 10 1.42
193 5.74 6 6 2 9 1.47
816 5.87 6 5 2 10 1.48
2539 5.44 5 5 2 10 1.61
272 5.65 6 6 2 10 1.56
4342 5.77 6 5 3 10 1.39
75 5.46 5 5 2 9 1.43
1370 5.36 5 5 2 9 1.52
2559 5.39 5 5 2 9 1.40
486 4.96 5 5 0 9 1.45
1089 4.67 5 4 2 8 1.30
1302 4.4 4 4 1 7 1.33
357 4.43 4 4 2 8 1.34
433 4.42 4.5 5 1 8 1.47
1367 4.18 4 5 1 7 1.43
224 4.16 4 4 1 7 1.51
1923 4.29 4 4 1 8 1.48
1881 4.02 4 4 1 8 1.49
3340 3.72 4 4 1 6 1.30
1672 3.75 4 5 0 8 1.46
714 3.55 4 4 0 7 1.26
223 3.79 4 4 0 7 1.35
4475 3.38 4 4 1 7 1.29
869 3.1 3 3 1 7 1.18
4460 3.05 3 3 1 6 1.18
1143 3.05 3 2 1 6 1.30
2495 2.85 3 3 0 7 1.36
At this point (after shipping the robot), I'm really looking forward to doing laundry, eating a square meal, and getting to bed at a reasonable hour. - Emily Pease [more] 
Hybrid Mode
