Michigan State Championship

[Joe Ross]

Originally Posted by Chris Hibner

I ran the actual match schedule using each teams BEST OPR so far (everyone generally brings their A game to states). Here are the predicted standings:

Here's what I got using Best OPR, counting ties when they were within 1 point. Match 82 has a 173-173 tie! It looks like everything else matches up. I used the world OPR for auto, teleop, and climb.

Rank	Team	Wins	Losses	Ties	Matches	QP	HP	TP	BP
1	469	11	0	1	12	23	510	953	254
2	2054	11	1	0	12	22	517	680	252
3	67	11	1	0	12	22	435	845	244
4	33	10	1	1	12	21	603	715	247
5	2000	10	2	0	12	20	457	625	254
6	2612	9	3	0	12	18	501	649	253
7	1189	9	3	0	12	18	465	560	283
8	3539	8	3	1	12	17	488	672	236
9	2145	8	3	1	12	17	334	664	275
10	1918	8	4	0	12	16	496	624	230
11	2959	8	4	0	12	16	475	693	301
12	2474	8	4	0	12	16	472	694	127
13	1718	8	4	0	12	16	446	847	289
14	2619	8	4	0	12	16	422	633	243
15	2851	8	4	0	12	16	417	541	280
16	3641	8	4	0	12	16	359	634	290
17	494	7	4	1	12	15	552	510	216
18	3572	7	5	0	12	14	457	554	319
19	3414	7	5	0	12	14	450	680	291
20	51	7	5	0	12	14	427	571	258
21	2137	7	5	0	12	14	375	576	213
22	503	7	5	0	12	14	367	579	207
23	1504	7	5	0	12	14	343	579	243
24	314	6	5	1	12	13	399	639	172
25	70	6	6	0	12	12	507	561	231
26	862	6	6	0	12	12	448	646	286
27	1701	6	6	0	12	12	428	535	245
28	326	6	6	0	12	12	420	560	217
29	27	6	6	0	12	12	419	668	129
30	2673	6	6	0	12	12	392	510	229
31	4130	6	6	0	12	12	390	589	242
32	2611	6	6	0	12	12	389	436	265
33	123	6	6	0	12	12	386	572	221
34	2337	6	6	0	12	12	383	476	236
35	3604	6	6	0	12	12	365	656	160
36	2771	5	6	1	12	11	416	625	177
37	3234	5	6	1	12	11	408	564	264
38	573	5	6	1	12	11	390	598	242
39	3618	5	6	1	12	11	329	621	213
40	4325	5	7	0	12	10	475	668	282
41	245	5	7	0	12	10	461	746	233
42	68	5	7	0	12	10	434	635	154
43	1684	5	7	0	12	10	432	688	214
44	3688	5	7	0	12	10	415	576	229
45	858	5	7	0	12	10	397	511	260
46	1023	5	7	0	12	10	393	499	296
47	3656	5	7	0	12	10	382	563	240
48	107	5	7	0	12	10	358	565	270
49	4381	4	7	1	12	9	416	416	273
50	217	4	7	1	12	9	365	606	182
51	4384	4	8	0	12	8	442	535	242
52	2767	4	8	0	12	8	402	572	225
53	548	4	8	0	12	8	386	463	128
54	4391	4	8	0	12	8	377	456	232
55	2960	4	8	0	12	8	330	503	210
56	3602	3	9	0	12	6	365	457	226
57	4377	3	9	0	12	6	358	469	207
58	1025	3	9	0	12	6	305	410	362
59	141	2	10	0	12	4	381	361	255
60	857	2	10	0	12	4	376	414	238
61	280	2	10	0	12	4	366	471	188
62	2834	2	10	0	12	4	343	472	206
63	910	2	10	0	12	4	339	447	158
64	3421	2	10	0	12	4	325	423	204

[Joe Ross]

Using Best OPR, 13 matches predicted to be at or above 300 combined.

Match	Red 1	Red 2	Red 3	Blue 1	Blue 2	Blue 3	RScore	BScore
82	3539	33	494	2145	3618	469	173	173
50	3618	67	2474	3414	1718	2054	174	170
32	2474	2767	2959	67	245	3539	154	189
5	1504	469	1718	3604	68	245	188	151
121	33	3414	2767	3421	469	2054	161	169
68	2474	3604	1684	314	33	326	161	168
89	245	1189	1718	1684	33	27	163	165
101	1918	67	33	123	2137	3688	198	125
41	469	2771	1701	2851	326	67	175	147
116	2612	469	217	3234	910	2474	178	136
126	1189	3539	4384	67	217	2137	146	163
63	3539	70	1684	1918	2771	2000	150	155
57	862	3572	494	2959	2612	1718	133	167

[qzrrbz]

Good Grief!!!! If you watch any Ultimate Ascent this year, you need to be watching MSC!!!

First 5 matches out of the chute, ~half the participants, *BOTH* alliances averaging over 100 points!

Wow. Just. Wow!

[Nemo]

I wish I was at this event as a spectator. I'll be peeking into the webcast... good luck to all of the great teams at this event!

[lynca]

The matches have not disappointed so far, only 1 qual match did not post a 100+ score, and that was a 96-83 score.

Looking forward to see who comes out on top after 128 qual matches

[Gregor]

Stream 1 has no sound, but the camera's are dynamic and its connected to the FMS. Stream 2 has sound, but it is one far away camera with no FMS scores. I would use the sound from Stream 2, but it is about 4-5 seconds behind stream 1. Any way to fix it?

[Jared Russell]

Originally Posted by Gregor

Stream 1 has no sound, but the camera's are dynamic and its connected to the FMS. Stream 2 has sound, but it is one far away camera with no FMS scores. I would use the sound from Stream 2, but it is about 4-5 seconds behind stream 1. Any way to fix it?

Easy, watch stream 1 from 1,500,000 km away and listen to stream 2 right next to you

[stuart2054]

Originally Posted by Joe Ross

Using Best OPR, 13 matches predicted to be at or above 300 combined.

Match	Red 1	Red 2	Red 3	Blue 1	Blue 2	Blue 3	RScore	BScore
82	3539	33	494	2145	3618	469	173	173
50	3618	67	2474	3414	1718	2054	174	170
32	2474	2767	2959	67	245	3539	154	189
5	1504	469	1718	3604	68	245	188	151
121	33	3414	2767	3421	469	2054	161	169
68	2474	3604	1684	314	33	326	161	168
89	245	1189	1718	1684	33	27	163	165
101	1918	67	33	123	2137	3688	198	125
41	469	2771	1701	2851	326	67	175	147
116	2612	469	217	3234	910	2474	178	136
126	1189	3539	4384	67	217	2137	146	163
63	3539	70	1684	1918	2771	2000	150	155
57	862	3572	494	2959	2612	1718	133	167

Joe,

So far with 36 matches today The following matches were over 300 combined score.

Match Red Blue
11 160 186
19 191 140
20 157 187
21 169 145

Many others were close.

[Chris Hibner]

Using best OPR, the OPR prediction has been correct in 81% of the Thursday matches at MSC. (Matches with score differential of less than 5 points were considered "too close to call" and have been eliminated from the predictions.)

[Chris Hibner]

Here is why MSC is a brutal competition: in 5 consecutive qualifying matches 175, 125, 151, 120, and 156 were scored by the LOSING alliance. I feel sad for the teams that put up 175, 151, and 156 and walk away with a loss.

[qzrrbz]

Originally Posted by Chris Hibner

Here is why MSC is a brutal competition: in 5 consecutive qualifying matches 175, 125, 151, 120, and 156 were scored by the LOSING alliance. I feel sad for the teams that put up 175, 151, and 156 and walk away with a loss.

And there is a team (1189) with a 3-3 record on track to *break* 1000 TP in 12 matches!

Just incredible...

[Jared Russell]

12 straight matches of 100+ scores for both alliances (and counting)!

[Pat Fairbank]

Real-time OPR: http://frcstats.appspot.com/opr/micmp

[AdamHeard]

Originally Posted by Pat Fairbank

Real-time OPR: http://frcstats.appspot.com/opr/micmp

For champs? Please.

[Pat Fairbank]

Originally Posted by AdamHeard

For champs? Please.

Pop in any event code (and optional year) and it's good to go. It does a scrape of the match results page on every request.