[MCC] Minimum Competitive Concept 2013

[IKE]

So My MCC before the comeptition season started was quite a bit different than what I am seeing here.

First of all, I usually try to set my MCC up so that it will score at 2x-3x the median team. My estimates for the median team before competition season started was 10 pts. I do this by thinking through what I expect the top OPR for the year to be (my estiamte was right around 100 for this year and ended up pretty spot on). I have then noticed that the median team OPR tends to be around 1/10th the top OPR. or about 10 points (median week 1 this year was closer to 13 pts, so I was off quite a bit). this lead to my 2x-3x robot needing to score about 20-30 points. The reason for the 2x-3x is that if you want to seed high enough to be a picker, you need to win most of your matches. At 3x the median, you should win at least 75% of your matches as your robot alone will be equal to the average opponent score you face. My 30 point estiamtion of this score proved to be a bit off.

So, what was my thoguht on how to most reliably get to 20-30 points... The 1 point goal and 10 point hanging. My thought was to build a 1 pt. dumper that could score:
2discs in auton driving forward, hitting the goal and dumping in 2 discs for 4 pts. Next, this robot would make 4 trips ferryign its 16 discs into the 1 pt. goal This should be pretty easy to make those 4 trips as it is relatively easy to line up no one would be defending a 1 pt. dumper... 16 pts.
Then execute a 10 point hang.
This robot strategy only uses the teams share of discs (15 whites plus 1 colored disc) and would be a very solid 20-30 pt. (4+3*4*1+10=26, 4+4*1*4+10=30).
Lastly, it is a pretty simple bot, so adding a blocker is no big deal.
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So looking through the data from 1114 database, the median when looking at teams BEST OPR for the season was 13.78. The median OPR for Auton when looking at best was 4.01.

The robot stratgey assigned above would be fairly comeptive, but would not meet my 3X median desire. I also would not have growth capability to get there. This was mostly due to the median being higher than I was expecting. Looking over legacy data, I will probably use a 7X instead of 10x delta for my best vs. mdeian.

The 26-30 pt. window when compared to OPR is 75-80 percentile. This is actually quite impressive when you think about it.

Of course this also requires a high level of execution of that particular design. I know of 1 team that executed such a design, and their OPR was 11.21. This was largely due to not having an auto (which is -4 points), missing a good chunks of their hangs (their climb OPRs were 2.9 1st event and 7.9 2nd event). This team was also frequently asked to play defense as they were not deemed a strong scorer. Because of this, they typically only did 1-2 vollies (4-8 pts.)

They were however 9th and 12th picks at the two events they attended, and were ranked 12th and 29th at those same two events. Had they gotten to where they were doing 26-30 points, they likely would have been in the top 8-10 scorers at both of their events. Not too bad for a 1 pt. dumper with a 10 point climb.

This concept would not have done well at an event like MSC. Because it was fully limited to 30 points, it would have topped out early in the season.