PNW district difficulty projections

[SoftwareBug2.0]

I thought it would be interesting to guess how competitive the different Pacific northwest district events would be. To do this I used teams 2013 winning percentages. In the first column below is listed the 24th best winning percentage of teams signed up for that event. In the second column is the average winning percentage.

(0.227,0.385,Eastern Washington University)
(0.333,0.398,Central Washington University)
(0.333,0.429,Oregon State University)
(0.333,0.434,Auburn Mountainview)
(0.333,0.463,Mt. Vernon)
(0.347,0.441,Shorewood)
(0.375,0.453,Glacier Peak)
(0.416,0.476,Auburn)
(0.444,0.498,Wilsonville)
(0.450,0.496,Oregon City)

For reference, the worldwide average winning percentage is 0.452. The average winning percentage for a team that attended a northwest event last year was 0.468. If you're wondering why the average is below .5 it's because the teams that play more matches tend to win more.

It would probably be more scientific to do this comparison with OPR. This is left as an excercise for the reader.

So how are you feeling about the events you're going to? My team's first two events are Oregon City and Wilsonville, so that ought to be interesting.