2014 Curie Division

[magnets]

Originally Posted by Jared

I did the same thing, but got different results. Where did you get your OPR data? I used team 2834's for my results.

For top 8, I had
842
469
1241
1718
2013
118
125
135


Attached is my excel spreadsheet that uses team 2834's scouting database. It's interesting to see that OPR doesn't have a great correlation with the number of matches won predicted by OPR.

The graph is interesting. I never realized how much scheduling luck can help/hurt somebody. There is a team that won 4 matches that has a higher OPR than a team that won 9 matches. If you're basing these predicted wins purely off of opr, I would have expected different results.

Even more interesting, is team 3562, who has an opr of 31.8, and has 7 wins, predicted by OPR. Poor team 191 has an OPR of 30, and they only have 1 win predicted by OPR. You are missing team 2073 in your OPR, and have set their OPR to 35, but changing it to their real value does not make a difference in their win/loss.