Galileo 2014

[Caleb Sykes]

Originally Posted by Laaba 80

Wow. The difference from top to bottom is insane. Could you provide any more info about your process to get these numbers?

I found it very interesting as well. All of the data that I used came from the Galileo predictions document found here. Essentially, for each match in a team's schedule, I subtracted out said team's contribution and calculated their alliance's winning margin without them (which were largely negative). I then ordered these winning margins in ascending order. My value is simply the negative of the third number in this ordered list.

When you are looking at team X, do you use max/world OPR for opponent Y's OPR, or is Y's OPR also based off what it takes to reach 8-2. This is a very interesting way to think about things, thanks for sharing it.

In all of my calculations, I use the OPR from the above document (I believe this is max event OPR).

I'm not sure if I'm being clear enough. I would be happy to answer any other questions you have about this.