paper: Weeks 1-2 Elo Analysis

[Ether]

Originally Posted by Michael Hill

My baseline was just using OPR for predicting match outcomes, it was able to predict about 77.1% of the matches this year.

I just ran the OPR numbers using the data you linked in your earlier post. I came up with 6919 of 8921 matches correctly "postdicted", or 77.56%

Our numbers are very close, but I had expected them to be identical.

Here's a link to an XLS spreadsheet.