"Water Game" Posts

[brndn]

After reading this post, I decided to see for myself how quickly the infamous water game is usually brought up in a thread. To do so, I sorted through the 90 most recent threads (first 3 pages) in the Rumor Mill forum, excluding spam posts, and collected some data. This includes posts as of about 11:00PM EST 12/09/14. A relevancy measure was necessary since some threads are not about game hints, predictions, etc. per say. This was subject to my opinion. Also, I might have missed some posts. The results are as reliable as I and CTRL+F combined are. So here are the numbers:

Number of threads relevant to game hints, predictions, etc.: 62
Relevant threads that mention a water game: 46 (74%)

Number of irrelevant threads: 28
Irrelevant threads that mention a water game: 3 (11%)

For relevant threads:
Mean number of posts until a water game is mentioned: 13.98
Median number of posts until a water game is mentioned: 5

Considering the number of posts in a thread lets us see relatively how far in the first water game post occurs. A water game post occurs, on average, 24% of the way into a thread. The median "depth" of a water game post is 6% into a thread.

Cool.