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Unread 10-03-2015, 14:56
PVCpirate's Avatar
PVCpirate PVCpirate is offline
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AKA: Anthony Jennings
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District Championship Projections

Last year, when I was running district point calculations for New England and posting rankings before the official ones came out, I realized I could estimate the amount of points it would take to qualify for the District Championship using the proportion of championship capacity to total teams. Since it ended up being a decent estimate for the final cutoff by week 3 or so, I've developed the method more and applied it to all 5 districts for this year. I'll be happy to answer any questions about how I got the numbers. I'll be updating this thread each week with new projections.

Here are the numbers I came up with for the final district score of the lowest ranked team to initially qualify for the district championship:

Code:
WEEK 2 PROJECTIONS
Michigan:    74 points
Indiana:     44 points
PNW:         70 points
MAR:         58 points
New England: 70 points
The team counts I used to calculate these were 351 for Michigan, 53 for Indiana, 149 for PNW, 120 for MAR and 167 for New England. I'm not entirely sure about the accuracy of the team counts, so if anyone has better or updated numbers, I would appreciate it if you could share them here.

DISCLAIMERS: These are not official in any way. Teams may or may not qualify for district championships regardless of the numbers I post. Please don't alter your competition strategy based on my projections, they are rough estimates at best.

EDIT: I reran the numbers with the team counts Mr V posted, Indiana drops to 38, while PNW and New England go up to 72.
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2010 - Granite State Regoinal Winners, Galileo quarterfinalists, IRI quarterfinalists
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Last edited by PVCpirate : 10-03-2015 at 22:13.
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