2015 Carson Division

[ThunderousPrime]

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard

Predictions!

254-973-1241-5122 W
1519-4488-236-1629 SF
225-1296-3339-999 SF
1730-16-203-3478 QF
67-5254-246-3604 F
1325-2085-2471-1058 QF
399-5406-1501-3547 QF
60-1711-85-1511 QF

Most of this is totally unlikely- but hey, if you don't like my predictions, go out there and prove them wrong!

Also add your predictions. I love this stuff.

Forgot 4587.

[Cash4587]

Originally Posted by ThunderousPrime

Forgot 4587.

Lol.....

[ELIADETACH]

3339 is very excited to be able to play with so many amazing teams
SEE YOU !!

[Sean4488]

This is going to be such a competitive division, I can't wait to get to work with these teams and some of our friends from PNW! #StackCity

[marj1346]

Team 60 is excited to make some PHAT $TACK$ with everyone! This is definitely going to be the most exciting and competitive field! Good luck to everyone in advance!

[Maximillian]

The Preliminary Match Schedules have been posted.

Practice

Qualification

[Mr. B]

FIRST Robotics Team 5122 the RobOTies would like to share some photos of our robot:
https://www.facebook.com/frc5122/posts/647727005359627

By removing 3 parts we can be 10.5 LB underweight so cheesecake is an option!

[Floodie Wowerz]

Originally Posted by Mr. B

FIRST Robotics Team 5122 the RobOTies would like to share some photos of our robot:
https://www.facebook.com/frc5122/posts/647727005359627

By removing 3 parts we can be 10.5 LB underweight so cheesecake is an option!

Wow!

[nuclearnerd]

I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

This was a little different than what I did last year (which was use OPR to predict a "win margin" for each team at each match and then average the predicted win margin). This year, I thought the best way to show SOS was, for each team, calculate the average number of *points* all of their alliance partners will bring to their matches (where max OPR is a stand in for points in this method). A team's own OPR is ignored, as are the OPRs of the opposing alliance. This ignores the resource constraints that will come into play during the high scoring matches (the limited number of chutes and cans), and any unique pairings that might help or hurt a team's efficiency, but I think it's a good first effort. The data could be useful for planning strategy, and might also influence scouting. Feel free to suggest modifications to my method!

And I'm sorry for team 1629

[Adam Freeman]

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd

I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule.

Yuck! SOS 74 out of 76....lets go partners, we gotta do better than that! Gonna have to come up with some creative strategies to maximize our skills together.

Planning has started already. Can't wait unil Wedbesday.

[styxracer97]

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd

I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

This was a little different than what I did last year (which was use OPR to predict a "win margin" for each team at each match and then average the predicted win margin). This year, I thought the best way to show SOS was, for each team, calculate the average number of *points* all of their alliance partners will bring to their matches (where max OPR is a stand in for points in this method). A team's own OPR is ignored, as are the OPRs of the opposing alliance. This ignores the resource constraints that will come into play during the high scoring matches (the limited number of chutes and cans), and any unique pairings that might help or hurt a team's efficiency, but I think it's a good first effort. The data could be useful for planning strategy, and might also influence scouting. Feel free to suggest modifications to my method!

And I'm sorry for team 1629

25th. We can work with that.

[Jaywalker1711]

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd

I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Looks like we got lucky...

[Dylan Danzeiser]

Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference )

[Jaywalker1711]

Originally Posted by Dylan Danzeiser

Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference )

Don't worry, I'm sure that the best teams will sort through the purple haze

[Vale]

Originally Posted by Jaywalker1711

Don't worry, I'm sure that the best teams will sort through the purple haze

Yeah, I mean, most of us should be scouting teams. And also, I'm definitely gonna be rooting for you to pull through because you are awesome for making it this far. I believe in you guys.