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Unread 13-05-2015, 11:53
GreyingJay GreyingJay is offline
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Re: "standard error" of OPR values

Quote:
Originally Posted by Oblarg View Post
Unfortunately, this is tenuous - there's no real reason to believe that each team contributes linearly to score by some flat amount per match, and that variance beyond that is a random variable whose distribution does not change match-to-match.
This year may be an anomaly, but it seems to me like, for some teams anyway, this is a reasonable model. Teams have built robots that are very predictable and task-oriented. For example: grab a bin, drive to the feeder station, stack, stack, stack, push, stack, stack, stack, push, etc. Knowing how quickly our human player and stack mechanism are, we can predict with reasonable accuracy how many points we can typically score in a match, with the only real variance coming from when things go wrong.
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