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Unread 18-05-2015, 11:09
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Re: "standard error" of OPR values

Quote:
Originally Posted by wgardner View Post
What is the standard error for the OPR estimates (assuming the modeled distribution is valid) after the full tournament?

about 11.4 per team. Some teams have a bit more or a bit less, but the standard deviation of this was only 0.1 so all teams were pretty close to 11.4.
I sincerely appreciate the time and effort you spent on this.

I could be wrong, but I doubt this is what Citrus Dad had in mind.

Can we all agree that 0.1 is real-world meaningless? There is without a doubt far more variation in consistency of performance from team to team.

Manual scouting data would surely confirm this.


@ Citrus Dad: you wrote:
Quote:
I'm thinking of the parameter standard errors, i.e., the error estimate around the OPR parameter itself for each team. That can be computed from the matrix--it's a primary output of any statistical software package.
... so would you please compute the parameter standard errors for this example using your statistical software package and post results here? Thank you.


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