Car Nack Predicts 16-1

[JesseK]

This prediction boils down to minimizing the advantages of first seed (first pick, playing vs 8th seed in QF's which allows the alliance to become cohesive before facing tougher opponents) while maximizing the disadvantage of first seed (16th pick).

• No 2nd picks which fill in the gaps for the 1st seed are available as the 16th pick
• Theory that the first seed will likely be a team who did the 'defense agreement' too much, therefore no other captains want to be their partner since no one knows what the 1st seed is REALLY capable of

Sure I'm missing others...

Curiously, I wonder if what led to this prediction is the thought that 8th seed (or 4th/5th seed) may have the upper hand in QF's simply due to variety in selection.

[T3_1565]

Maybe this is based off of a 3rd robot being more important in this game then others?

I don't think there is much room for "hold my ramp and don't move" robots this year. Plus even for the argument on defensive bots as a 3rd bot, the bottom list of teams will be teams that attempted a drivetrain for cross defenses and failed, There drivetrain may be worse off then a kitbot that far down the list.

Just my thoughts on the reasoning.

[IronicDeadBird]

I'm personally just blown away by such a strong read by someone day 4 of the competition. Everything in it lines up so well. I just feel dumb right now.

[Kevin Sevcik]

I suspect part of this is the assumption that those bonus ranking points are going to shake up the standing more than usual. 1 RP in quals probably is worth more than 25 match points in elims, so Car Nack has a bit of a point. The attributes that make a #1 seed aren't as well aligned with winning Elims as they usually are.